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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:49Shot by Eller, saved by Garon
  3. P1 5:30Shot by Connolly, saved by Price
  4. P1 7:30Shot by Gervais, saved by Price
  5. P1 7:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  6. P1 8:04Shot by Pyatt, saved by Price
  7. P1 8:42Goal by Stamkos (Purcell, St. Louis)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos · MTL Gorges, Bourque, Palushaj, Subban, Eller

  8. P1 9:31Shot by Segal, saved by Price
  9. P1 10:37Commodore: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Commodore, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos · MTL Plekanec, Emelin, White, Geoffrion, Diaz

  10. P1 11:06Shot by Subban, saved by Garon4v5
  11. P1 12:55Shot by Geoffrion, saved by Garon
  12. P1 14:33Shot by Cole, saved by Garon
  13. P1 14:41Shot by Weber, saved by Garon
  14. P1 15:52Shot by Purcell, saved by Price
  15. P1 16:02Goal by Desharnais, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Gervais, Purcell, Stamkos · MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Geoffrion, Subban

  16. P1 17:40Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  17. P1 18:34Shot by Palushaj, saved by Garon
  18. P1 18:45Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price
  19. P1 19:27Shot by Pyatt, saved by Price
  20. P1 19:55Shot by Plekanec, saved by Garon
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:28Goal by Hall (Malone, Wyman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, Hall, Malone, Wyman · MTL Cole, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Diaz

  24. P2 0:38Shot by Oberg, saved by Price
  25. P2 2:24Shot by White, saved by Garon
  26. P2 2:58Shot by Cole, saved by Garon
  27. P2 3:23Shot by Angelidis, saved by Price
  28. P2 3:35Shot by Gervais, saved by Price
  29. P2 4:29Shot by Plekanec, saved by Garon
  30. P2 5:56Emelin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, Hall, Malone, Wyman · MTL Emelin, Bourque, Palushaj, Eller, Diaz

  31. P2 7:48Shot by Connolly, saved by Price5v4
  32. P2 7:57Shot by Oberg, saved by Price
  33. P2 8:07Shot by Bourque, saved by Garon
  34. P2 8:16Malone: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Oberg, Connolly · MTL Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais, Geoffrion

  35. P2 8:16Malone: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Oberg, Connolly · MTL Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais, Geoffrion

  36. P2 8:16Staubitz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Oberg, Connolly · MTL Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais, Geoffrion

  37. P2 8:16Malone: Aggressor (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Oberg, Connolly · MTL Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais, Geoffrion

  38. P2 8:16Staubitz: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Oberg, Connolly · MTL Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Desharnais, Geoffrion

  39. P2 11:11Shot by Subban, saved by Garon4v5
  40. P2 11:18Shot by Cole, saved by Garon4v5
  41. P2 11:33Shot by Plekanec, saved by Garon4v5
  42. P2 14:18Shot by Gervais, saved by Price
  43. P2 14:57Shot by Palushaj, saved by Garon
  44. P2 15:29Connolly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Lee, Pyatt, Connolly · MTL Kaberle, Campoli, Bourque, Palushaj, Eller

  45. P2 17:27Kaberle: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lee, Stamkos · MTL Kaberle, Gomez, Plekanec, Bourque, Subban

  46. P2 18:16Shot by Bourque, saved by Garon5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:27Shot by Bourque, saved by Garon
  50. P3 3:47Labrie: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Gervais, Angelidis, Labrie, Oberg · MTL Gomez, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Staubitz

  51. P3 3:47Staubitz: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Gervais, Angelidis, Labrie, Oberg · MTL Gomez, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Staubitz

  52. P3 4:22Shot by Brewer, saved by Price
  53. P3 4:23Shot by Wyman, saved by Price
  54. P3 4:24Shot by Brewer, saved by Price
  55. P3 9:18Shot by Cole, saved by Garon
  56. P3 9:36Shot by Hall, saved by Price6v5
  57. P3 9:37Weber: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Commodore, Hall, Wyman, Pyatt, Stamkos · MTL Cole, Emelin, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty

  58. P3 12:14Shot by Cole, saved by Garon
  59. P3 12:21Shot by Campoli, saved by Garon
  60. P3 12:40Shot by Cole, saved by Garon
  61. P3 12:45Shot by Kaberle, saved by Garon
  62. P3 14:25Shot by Oberg, saved by Price
  63. P3 16:37Shot by Brewer, saved by Price
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final