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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 10, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Leino, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 2:12Shot by Pominville, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 2:38Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 2:43Shot by Leopold, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 3:35Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 4:15Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 4:17Shot by Kaleta, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 5:09Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  11. P1 6:46Michalek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Cowen · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Weber, Leino, Hodgson

  12. P1 6:45Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 8:19Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop4v5
  14. P1 8:27Goal by Condra, unassisted4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno

  15. P1 8:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller4v5
  16. P1 9:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  17. P1 9:47Shot by O'Brien, saved by Miller
  18. P1 11:18Shot by Leopold, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 11:38Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  20. P1 14:24Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 16:19Pominville: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Klinkhammer, Turris, Karlsson · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Sulzer, Leino, Hodgson

  22. P1 17:49Shot by Gilroy, saved by Miller5v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:11Shot by Pominville, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 2:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  27. P2 2:56Shot by Daugavins, saved by Miller
  28. P2 3:08Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 3:55Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Miller
  30. P2 4:07Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller
  31. P2 4:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  32. P2 4:59Shot by Kuba, saved by Miller
  33. P2 5:22Shot by Gilroy, saved by Miller
  34. P2 6:06Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 7:03Shot by Daugavins, saved by Miller
  36. P2 7:09Shot by Condra, saved by Miller
  37. P2 8:04Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  38. P2 9:10Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:28Goal by Gerbe (Ehrhoff, Roy)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Gilroy · BUF Boyes, Roy, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Gerbe

  40. P2 9:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  41. P2 10:35Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller
  42. P2 10:36Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  43. P2 10:47Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller
  44. P2 11:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  45. P2 11:42Goal by Karlsson (Neil, Foligno)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson · BUF Regehr, Boyes, Roy, Gerbe, Weber

  46. P2 12:16Shot by Ellis, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 13:15Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Miller
  48. P2 14:38Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 14:58Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  50. P2 16:12Shot by Pominville, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 16:46Shot by Gilroy, saved by Miller
  52. P2 16:56Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 17:17Shot by Myers, saved by Bishop
  54. P2 17:50Shot by Cowen, saved by Miller
  55. P2 18:53Shot by Pominville, saved by Bishop
  56. P2 19:05Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  57. P2 19:14Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  58. P2 19:41Goal by Ennis (Leopold, Leino)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Daugavins, Smith, Karlsson · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Leino, Myers, Ennis

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:22Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 2:06Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 5:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  64. P3 5:54Shot by Ellis, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 6:00Shot by Leopold, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 6:30Shot by Foligno, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 7:14Goal by Karlsson, unassisted+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Condra, Klinkhammer, Smith, Karlsson · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Weber, Leino, Hodgson

  68. P3 8:37Michalek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Cowen · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno

  69. P3 9:15Shot by Roy, saved by Bishop4v5
  70. P3 9:50Shot by Myers, saved by Bishop4v5
  71. P3 9:57Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop4v5
  72. P3 10:56Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 14:06Goal by Foligno, unassisted+34 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  74. P3 14:37Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  75. P3 15:28Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  76. P3 17:57Shot by Leopold, saved by Bishop
  77. P3 18:29Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller
  78. P3 18:38Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Miller
  79. P3 19:08Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  80. P3 19:16Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. OT 0:00Period start
  83. OT 1:46Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller4v4
  84. OT 2:44Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop4v4
  85. OT 3:04Shot by Boyes, saved by Bishop4v4
  86. OT 3:53Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · BUF Regehr, Sulzer, Leino, Hodgson

  87. OT 3:53Karlsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)3v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · BUF Regehr, Sulzer, Leino, Hodgson

  88. OT 4:38Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop3v4
  89. OT 4:41Shot by Roy, saved by Bishop3v4
  90. OT 5:00Period end
  91. SO Period start
  92. SO Shot by Michalek, saved by Millerother
  93. SO Shot by Boyes, saved by Bishopother
  94. SO Shot by Spezza, saved by Millerother
  95. SO Goal by Pominville, unassistedother
  96. SO Goal by Alfredsson, unassistedother
  97. SO Goal by Ennis, unassistedother
  98. SO Period end
  99. SO Final