Sat, Mar 10, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.
45%
9%
8%
38%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pominville–Leino–Hodgson | Stafford–Ennis–Foligno | Boyes–Roy–Gerbe | Ellis–Kaleta–Tropp | Roy–Gerbe–Tropp | Ehrhoff–Sulzer | Regehr–Weber | Leopold–Myers | Leopold–Sulzer | Ehrhoff–Myers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfredsson–Klinkhammer–Turris | 9:220.70–0.13 | 1:250.20–0.06 | 1:090.07–0.06 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 4:060.21–0.12 | 2:200.23–0.11 | 6:490.45–0.05 | 0:340.20–0.00 | ||
| Spezza–Michalek–Greening | 1:010.00–0.01 | 1:390.03–0.03 | 5:540.40–0.14 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 5:430.19–0.14 | 2:440.05–0.03 | 2:300.27–0.00 | ||
| Neil–Foligno–O'Brien | 1:240.00–0.00 | 3:290.04–0.07 | 2:580.11–0.18 | 1:120.00–0.32 | 2:110.02–0.05 | 6:000.12–0.39 | 1:580.01–0.29 | |||
| Daugavins–Condra–Smith | 1:400.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.02 | 0:400.05–0.02 | 0:480.12–0.09 | 2:280.00–0.11 | 2:230.05–0.02 | 0:500.12–0.00 | |||
| Spezza–Michalek–Foligno | 0:450.16–0.03 | |||||||||
| Kuba–Karlsson | 2:380.38–0.04 | 3:280.25–0.07 | 9:020.44–0.26 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 8:010.21–0.12 | 4:550.41–0.09 | 4:220.40–0.29 | 0:510.27–0.00 | ||
| Phillips–Gilroy | 8:310.54–0.10 | 2:500.02–0.10 | 2:060.07–0.10 | 1:140.00–0.02 | 5:470.21–0.18 | 5:110.09–0.05 | 4:190.33–0.10 | |||
| Gonchar–Cowen | 2:000.41–0.03 | 5:430.05–0.14 | 0:420.01–0.02 | 2:170.12–0.41 | 1:580.00–0.18 | 5:200.05–0.41 | 4:330.55–0.16 | |||
| Gonchar–Phillips | 2:190.00–0.02 | 2:030.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 30 | 26:22 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 29 | 25:33 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 2 | 5 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 26 | 25:13 | 0:58 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 29 | 24:17 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 25 | 22:08 | 0:53 | 1:40 | 5 | 1 |
 Alexander SulzerBUF | 26 | 22:08 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 23 | 21:48 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 4 | 1 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 26 | 21:23 | 0:49 | 2:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Ville LeinoBUF | 25 | 21:17 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 4 | 1 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 29 | 21:07 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 25 | 21:02 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 4 | 5 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 24 | 20:46 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 1 | 0 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 27 | 20:28 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 1 | 4 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 25 | 19:17 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 9 | 1 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 23 | 19:07 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt GilroyOTT | 23 | 18:44 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 3 | 4 |
 Rob KlinkhammerOTT | 23 | 18:33 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 22 | 18:33 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 24 | 18:29 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 22 | 18:23 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 25 | 18:16 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 26 | 17:55 | 0:41 | 1:49 | 8 | 2 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 21 | 17:35 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 21 | 16:19 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 0 | 5 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 20 | 16:00 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 18 | 15:27 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 21 | 15:23 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 1 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 18 | 15:04 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 22 | 14:36 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 7 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 16 | 13:48 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 13 | 10:43 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 0 | 3 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsOTT | 14 | 9:46 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 15 | 9:06 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 1 | 4 |
 Corey TroppBUF | 10 | 7:19 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 9 | 5:48 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 8 | 5:10 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 1 | 2 |