Tue, Mar 13, 2012·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 36 | 08 | 08 | 02 | 0 | 324 |
| CHI | 113 | 111 | 116 | 06 | 1 | 446 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:51CHIAndrew BrunetteAssists: Marian Hossa, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–1
- P1 3:50STLJamie LangenbrunnerAssists: Jason Arnott · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 6:49STLAndy McDonaldAssists: David Perron, Patrik Berglund · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P1 15:59STLPatrik BerglundAssists: Barret Jackman, Andy McDonald · Tip-in, 0.18 xG3–1
- P2 14:13CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Marcus Kruger, Johnny Oduya · Tip-in, 0.15 xG3–2
- P3 7:41CHIBrent SeabrookPPAssists: Marian Hossa, Patrick Sharp · Slap, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 2. STL T.J. Oshie stopped
- 3. CHI Dave Bolland stopped
- 4. STL Andy McDonald stopped
- 5. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 6. STL David Perron stopped
Penalties (14)
- P1 6:34CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:34STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:31STLIan Cole: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:56STLRyan Reaves: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:56CHIBrandon Bollig: Instigator2 min
- P1 19:56CHIBrandon Bollig: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:56CHIBrandon Bollig: Misconduct10 min
- P2 8:04STLB.J. Crombeen: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:24STLDavid Backes: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 1:55STLKevin Shattenkirk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 6:29STLBarret Jackman: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 8:16STLVladimir Sobotka: Boarding2 min
- P3 8:16STLJamie Langenbrunner: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:16CHIDylan Olsen: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- Backes – Oshie – Sobotka2:41
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Arnott – Langenbrunner – Sobotka6:23
xG 0.16–0.30 (35%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
- Nichol – Crombeen – Reaves2:28
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- McDonald – Berglund – Perron12:43
xG 0.50–1.04 (33%)attempts 11–14goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- bestPolak – Cole12:25
xG 0.56–0.40 (58%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Polak – Pietrangelo2:07
xG 0.24–0.18 (56%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Jackman – Polak2:14
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Stalberg – Kruger13:38
xG 1.22–0.48 (72%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Brunette – Hossa – Kane9:59
xG 0.68–0.14 (82%)attempts 13–7goals 1–2
- Bolland – Bickell – Shaw9:13
xG 0.27–0.16 (63%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Leddy12:29
xG 1.08–0.47 (70%)attempts 14–12goals 2–1
- Keith – Seabrook15:07
xG 0.91–0.32 (74%)attempts 21–11goals 0–0
- Keith – Leddy2:55
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).