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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 13, 2012·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

San Jose Sharks 2, Calgary Flames 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 80% of the time.

CGY winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kiprusoff
  3. P1 0:46Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kiprusoff
  4. P1 0:52Shot by Burns, saved by Kiprusoff
  5. P1 0:53Goal by Couture (Burns, Thornton)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Hannan, Tanguay, Giordano · SJS Thornton, Murray, Burns, Pavelski, Couture

  6. P1 2:31Ferriero: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Babchuk, Desbiens, Comeau, Smith, Horak · SJS Winchester, Desjardins, Ferriero, Braun, Demers

  7. P1 4:28Shot by Comeau, saved by Niemi5v4
  8. P1 5:06Clowe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Kostopoulos, Moss, Smith, Nemisz · SJS Thornton, Murray, Clowe, Burns, Galiardi

  9. P1 5:55Shot by Iginla, saved by Niemi5v4
  10. P1 6:46Shot by Stajan, saved by Niemi5v4
  11. P1 7:56Shot by Horak, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 8:03Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi
  13. P1 8:04Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi
  14. P1 9:19Shot by Galiardi, saved by Kiprusoff
  15. P1 10:10Shot by Desjardins, saved by Kiprusoff
  16. P1 10:19Shot by Winchester, saved by Kiprusoff
  17. P1 11:01Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi
  18. P1 12:32Stajan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Hannan, Tanguay, Stajan, Giordano · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Clowe, Winnik, Vlasic

  19. P1 14:25Shot by Burns, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  20. P1 16:33Clowe: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Hannan, Tanguay, Stajan, Giordano · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Demers

  21. P1 17:18Jokinen: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Tanguay, Giordano, Glencross · SJS Marleau, Murray, Burns, Pavelski

  22. P1 17:55Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  23. P1 18:58Shot by Giordano, saved by Niemi4v5
  24. P1 19:31Glencross: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Desbiens, Glencross · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Demers

  25. P1 19:31Glencross: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Desbiens, Glencross · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Demers

  26. P1 19:31Clowe: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Desbiens, Glencross · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Demers

  27. P1 19:31Desbiens: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Desbiens, Glencross · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Clowe, Pavelski, Demers

  28. P1 19:41Shot by Couture, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 2:51Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  32. P2 2:54Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  33. P2 3:00Shot by Couture, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  34. P2 3:27Shot by Moore, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  35. P2 4:53Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Niemi
  36. P2 5:46Goal by Baertschi (Iginla, Horak)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Sarich, Smith, Horak, Baertschi · SJS Burns, Winnik, Vlasic, Desjardins, Galiardi

  37. P2 7:03Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi
  38. P2 7:08Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 9:56Shot by Giordano, saved by Niemi
  40. P2 11:09Shot by Burns, saved by Kiprusoff
  41. P2 12:52Shot by Sarich, saved by Niemi
  42. P2 14:48Shot by Horak, saved by Niemi
  43. P2 16:21Giordano: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Hannan, Giordano, Comeau · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun, Couture

  44. P2 17:00Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  45. P2 17:27Shot by Boyle, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  46. P2 18:27Goal by Iginla (Giordano)+24 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Hannan, Giordano, Smith · SJS Murray, Moore, Clowe, Mitchell, Vlasic

  47. P2 19:11Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi
  48. P2 19:50Sarich: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Sarich, Kostopoulos, Bouwmeester, Desbiens, Nemisz · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Galiardi

  49. P2 19:55Shot by Couture, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:22Goal by Couture (Marleau, Thornton)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hannan, Kostopoulos, Tanguay, Giordano · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Couture

  53. P3 1:36Shot by Galiardi, saved by Kiprusoff
  54. P3 3:08Shot by Winchester, saved by Kiprusoff
  55. P3 3:22Shot by Demers, saved by Kiprusoff
  56. P3 3:22Shot by Ferriero, saved by Kiprusoff
  57. P3 6:48Shot by Moore, saved by Kiprusoff
  58. P3 8:04Shot by Winnik, saved by Kiprusoff
  59. P3 9:49Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kiprusoff
  60. P3 13:13Shot by Iginla, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 14:15Shot by Burns, saved by Kiprusoff
  62. P3 17:36Shot by Moss, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:23Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  66. OT 1:23Shot by Jokinen, saved by Niemi4v4
  67. OT 1:53Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi4v4
  68. OT 2:15Shot by Braun, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  69. OT 2:30Shot by Braun, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  70. OT 4:10Shot by Marleau, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  71. OT 4:20Goal by Stajan (Comeau)4v4+48 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Bouwmeester, Stajan, Giordano, Comeau · SJS Thornton, Boyle, Pavelski, Vlasic

  72. OT 4:20Period end
  73. OT 4:20Final