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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 14, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal

Ottawa Senators 2, Montréal Canadiens 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

MTL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price
  3. P1 1:43Shot by Michalek, saved by Price
  4. P1 2:27Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 3:32Shot by White, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 5:11Shot by Neil, saved by Price
  7. P1 5:44Shot by Desharnais, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 5:56Shot by Subban, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 7:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Price
  10. P1 8:03Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price
  11. P1 11:04Shot by Greening, saved by Price
  12. P1 11:05Shot by Greening, saved by Price
  13. P1 11:38Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price
  14. P1 13:44Shot by Cole, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 13:45Goal by Cole (Nokelainen, Palushaj)+18 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Nokelainen, Palushaj, Subban · OTT Spezza, Daugavins, Condra, Karlsson, Gilroy

  16. P1 14:11Goal by Greening (Michalek, Spezza)+18 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  17. P1 14:34Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 15:37Shot by Spezza, saved by Price
  19. P1 16:44Shot by St-Denis, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 16:44Cowen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Geoffrion, St-Denis, Eller, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen

  21. P1 16:44Geoffrion: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Geoffrion, St-Denis, Eller, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen

  22. P1 17:13Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bishop4v4
  23. P1 17:25Shot by Turris, saved by Price4v4
  24. P1 17:29Shot by Turris, saved by Price4v4
  25. P1 17:31Shot by Turris, saved by Price4v4
  26. P1 18:01Shot by Kuba, saved by Price4v4
  27. P1 18:29Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price4v4
  28. P1 19:51Cowen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Nokelainen, White, Palushaj, Subban · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Cowen

  29. P1 19:51Nokelainen: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Nokelainen, White, Palushaj, Subban · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Cowen

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:35Shot by Cole, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 0:37Pacioretty: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson

  34. P2 0:54Shot by Turris, saved by Price4v5
  35. P2 2:27Shot by White, saved by Bishop4v5
  36. P2 2:40Cole: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Condra, Karlsson

  37. P2 2:55Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price4v5
  38. P2 2:56Neil: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gorges, White, Subban · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Turris, Gilroy

  39. P2 3:41Markov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MTL Markov, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Turris, Gilroy

  40. P2 4:06Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price3v4
  41. P2 4:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price3v4
  42. P2 4:54Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price4v4
  43. P2 5:44Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price
  44. P2 7:02Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 7:14Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 9:55Shot by O'Brien, saved by Price
  47. P2 12:29Shot by Phillips, saved by Price
  48. P2 14:00Shot by O'Brien, saved by Price
  49. P2 14:00Foligno: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Geoffrion, Weber, Eller, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen

  50. P2 14:34Shot by Subban, saved by Bishop5v4
  51. P2 16:14Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop
  52. P2 16:38Shot by Eller, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 16:55Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:24Goal by Desharnais (Subban, Pacioretty)+25 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  57. P3 2:43Shot by Spezza, saved by Price
  58. P3 5:05Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 6:15Shot by Desharnais, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 6:24Shot by Neil, saved by Price
  61. P3 6:58Shot by O'Brien, saved by Price
  62. P3 7:10Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price
  63. P3 9:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price
  64. P3 11:01Goal by Karlsson (Kuba, Spezza)+31 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gorges, White, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  65. P3 12:11Shot by Gilroy, saved by Price
  66. P3 12:32Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 12:36Shot by Gorges, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 12:47Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop
  69. P3 13:22Eller: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Geoffrion, Subban, Eller, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Greening, O'Brien, Karlsson

  70. P3 13:22Karlsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Geoffrion, Subban, Eller, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Greening, O'Brien, Karlsson

  71. P3 14:01Shot by Gilroy, saved by Price4v4
  72. P3 14:49Shot by Subban, saved by Bishop4v4
  73. P3 14:54Shot by Subban, saved by Bishop4v4
  74. P3 16:22Shot by O'Brien, saved by Price
  75. P3 18:36Shot by Phillips, saved by Price
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 0:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price4v4
  79. OT 1:30Shot by Weber, saved by Bishop4v4
  80. OT 3:01Shot by Kuba, saved by Price4v4
  81. OT 4:28Shot by O'Brien, saved by Price4v4
  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishopother
  85. SO Shot by Michalek, saved by Priceother
  86. SO Goal by Desharnais, unassistedother
  87. SO Shot by Spezza, saved by Priceother
  88. SO Shot by Markov, saved by Bishopother
  89. SO Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Priceother
  90. SO Period end
  91. SO Final