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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 14, 2012·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Dallas Stars 2, Winnipeg Jets 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:40Shot by Jones, saved by Bachman
  3. P1 2:21Goal by Antropov (Miettinen, Clitsome)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Antropov, Hainsey, Miettinen, Clitsome, Stapleton · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ott, Fistric, Benn

  4. P1 4:05Shot by Glass, saved by Bachman
  5. P1 4:44Shot by Benn, saved by Pavelec
  6. P1 4:57Shot by Pardy, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 6:30Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Pavelec
  8. P1 7:17Shot by Kane, saved by Bachman
  9. P1 9:44Shot by Nystrom, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 10:20Shot by Antropov, saved by Bachman
  11. P1 10:34Shot by Pardy, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 11:01Shot by Benn, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 11:30Shot by Wellwood, saved by Bachman
  14. P1 12:55Shot by Ladd, saved by Bachman
  15. P1 14:51Shot by Kane, saved by Bachman
  16. P1 15:48Shot by Wheeler, saved by Bachman
  17. P1 16:16Shot by Little, saved by Bachman
  18. P1 16:43Shot by Burish, saved by Pavelec
  19. P1 17:45Shot by Slater, saved by Bachman
  20. P1 19:32Shot by Fiddler, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 19:55Shot by Daley, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:00Shot by Nystrom, saved by Pavelec
  25. P2 1:19Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Bachman
  26. P2 1:19Goal by Kane (Burmistrov, Wellwood)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Wellwood, Jones, Kane, Burmistrov · DAL Ribeiro, Burish, Daley, Nystrom, Goligoski

  27. P2 3:38Shot by Robidas, saved by Pavelec
  28. P2 3:58Shot by Goligoski, saved by Pavelec
  29. P2 4:08Shot by Fiddler, saved by Pavelec
  30. P2 5:10Shot by Kane, saved by Bachman
  31. P2 5:34Fiddler: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Kane, Burmistrov · DAL Fiddler, Burish, Daley, Nystrom, Pardy

  32. P2 6:10Shot by Eriksson, saved by Pavelec5v4
  33. P2 6:49Shot by Ladd, saved by Bachman5v4
  34. P2 8:28Goal by Fehr, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Slater, Fehr, Glass, Clitsome · DAL Morrow, Ott, Goligoski, Pardy, Benn

  35. P2 9:02Shot by Ladd, saved by Bachman
  36. P2 9:13Shot by Ladd, saved by Bachman
  37. P2 9:15Goal by Ladd (Little, Wheeler)+3 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little · DAL Robidas, Goligoski, Wandell, Vincour, Garbutt

  38. P2 10:08Shot by Fiddler, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 10:44Ribeiro: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Antropov, Hainsey, Miettinen, Clitsome, Stapleton · DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Ryder, Daley, Eriksson

  40. P2 10:44Hainsey: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Antropov, Hainsey, Miettinen, Clitsome, Stapleton · DAL Robidas, Ribeiro, Ryder, Daley, Eriksson

  41. P2 11:32Shot by Ryder, saved by Pavelec4v4
  42. P2 14:08Shot by Antropov, saved by Bachman
  43. P2 15:04Shot by Morrow, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 15:56Shot by Antropov, saved by Bachman
  45. P2 15:59Robidas: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Antropov, Miettinen, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Stapleton · DAL Robidas, Morrow, Ribeiro, Ryder, Fistric

  46. P2 16:12Goal by Ladd (Byfuglien, Wheeler)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Stapleton, Little · DAL Fiddler, Burish, Fistric, Goligoski

  47. P2 16:29Goal by Eriksson (Ribeiro)+1 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane, Burmistrov · DAL Ribeiro, Ryder, Eriksson, Goligoski, Larsen

  48. P2 16:38Shot by Ryder, saved by Pavelec
  49. P2 18:31Shot by Burish, saved by Pavelec
  50. P2 19:06Shot by Ladd, saved by Bachman
  51. P2 19:16Shot by Ryder, saved by Pavelec
  52. P2 19:31Shot by Ryder, saved by Pavelec
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 2:34Shot by Morrow, saved by Pavelec
  56. P3 5:57Shot by Ladd, saved by Bachman
  57. P3 6:13Shot by Fehr, saved by Bachman
  58. P3 6:27Shot by Goligoski, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 9:12Shot by Stapleton, saved by Bachman
  60. P3 12:06Shot by Miettinen, saved by Bachman
  61. P3 12:52Shot by Garbutt, saved by Pavelec
  62. P3 13:39Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bachman
  63. P3 13:51Shot by Goligoski, saved by Pavelec
  64. P3 16:16Goal by Eriksson (Ryder, Goligoski)0 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Ladd, Wheeler, Clitsome, Little · DAL Ribeiro, Ryder, Daley, Eriksson, Goligoski

  65. P3 16:15Shot by Ryder, saved by Pavelec
  66. P3 16:55Shot by Daley, saved by Pavelec
  67. P3 17:13Glass: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Enstrom, Glass · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  68. P3 17:13Burish: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Enstrom, Glass · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  69. P3 17:13Fiddler: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Enstrom, Glass · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  70. P3 17:13Glass: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Enstrom, Glass · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  71. P3 17:13Burish: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Enstrom, Glass · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  72. P3 17:13Burish: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Enstrom, Glass · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Burish, Nystrom, Fistric

  73. P3 19:28Shot by Garbutt, saved by Pavelec
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final