Wed, Mar 21, 2012·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 16 | 03 | 014 | 01 | 124 |
| CHI | 012 | 111 | 012 | 12 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:27VANJannik HansenAssists: Samuel Pahlsson · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 3:12CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Marian Hossa, Andrew Brunette · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- OT 2:42CHIAndrew ShawGWGAssists: Johnny Oduya, Dave Bolland · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
Penalties (15)
- P1 2:43CHIViktor Stalberg: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:01CHIBrandon Bollig: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:36CHIDuncan Keith: Elbowing2 min
- P2 4:25VANKevin Bieksa: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:07VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:09CHIDuncan Keith: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:09VANAlexandre Burrows: Misconduct10 min
- P2 9:09VANZack Kassian: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:09VANZack Kassian: Misconduct10 min
- P2 9:09VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:09CHIDuncan Keith: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:09VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:09CHIDuncan Keith: Misconduct10 min
- P2 13:06VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:28VANHenrik Sedin: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Kane
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Burrows – Kassian4:55
xG 0.34–0.03 (92%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Kesler – Booth – Raymond7:37
xG 0.41–0.32 (56%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Weise – Kassian3:50
xG 0.09–0.09 (48%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Higgins – Hansen7:33
xG 0.26–0.35 (42%)attempts 6–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Tanev9:20
xG 0.45–0.08 (85%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler16:09
xG 0.75–0.50 (60%)attempts 21–13goals 0–0
- Salo – Hamhuis13:33
xG 0.25–0.81 (23%)attempts 6–21goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBrunette – Hossa – Kane10:36
xG 0.67–0.33 (67%)attempts 16–7goals 1–1
- Sharp – Stalberg – Kruger3:53
xG 0.20–0.04 (83%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Morrison – Sharp – Stalberg6:48
xG 0.26–0.36 (42%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Shaw9:20
xG 0.05–0.36 (12%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook12:44
xG 0.44–0.13 (77%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Oduya – Leddy9:23
xG 0.51–0.21 (71%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson2:14
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).