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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 23, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal

Ottawa Senators 1, Montréal Canadiens 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 68% of the time.

MTL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Michalek, saved by Price
  3. P1 0:29Goal by Cole, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Plekanec, Gorges, Bourque, Subban · OTT Phillips, Michalek, Greening, Turris, Gilroy

  4. P1 1:02Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  5. P1 1:45Shot by Neil, saved by Price
  6. P1 2:06Staubitz: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Staubitz, Blunden, White, Weber · OTT Phillips, Konopka, Condra, Klinkhammer, Gilroy

  7. P1 2:06Konopka: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Staubitz, Blunden, White, Weber · OTT Phillips, Konopka, Condra, Klinkhammer, Gilroy

  8. P1 2:30Michalek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  9. P1 3:37Shot by Condra, saved by Price5v4
  10. P1 4:23Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson5v4
  11. P1 4:55Shot by Subban, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 4:56Goal by Cole (Subban, Desharnais)+11 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  13. P1 5:33Shot by Eller, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 5:34Shot by Plekanec, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 5:35Gonchar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  16. P1 5:39Shot by Subban, saved by Bishop5v4
  17. P1 5:41Goal by Cole (Desharnais, Subban)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · OTT Kuba, Condra, O'Brien, Cowen

  18. P1 7:12Shot by Leblanc, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 8:21Goal by Nokelainen (Palushaj, Campoli)+4 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Nokelainen, Blunden, Palushaj, Weber · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen

  20. P1 10:09Shot by Gilroy, saved by Price
  21. P1 10:17Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Price
  22. P1 11:04Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen

  23. P1 11:20Shot by Markov, saved by Bishop5v4
  24. P1 11:57Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Bishop5v4
  25. P1 14:55Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  26. P1 14:58Shot by Michalek, saved by Price
  27. P1 15:10Weber: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Campoli, Bourque, Desharnais, Weber · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Gilroy

  28. P1 16:11Shot by Kuba, saved by Price4v5
  29. P1 18:08Shot by Cole, saved by Bishop
  30. P1 19:02Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  31. P1 19:47Goal by Spezza (Michalek, Phillips)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Bourque, Subban, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening

  32. P1 0:00Subban: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson

  33. P1 0:00Foligno: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson

  34. P1 0:00Neil: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson

  35. P1 0:00Neil: Fighting (5 min)4v3

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson

  36. P1 0:00Neil: Misconduct (10 min)4v3

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson

  37. P1 0:00White: Fighting (5 min)4v3

    On ice: MTL Gorges, Blunden, White, Subban, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Karlsson

  38. P1 0:00Period end
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:21Shot by Markov, saved by Anderson5v4
  41. P2 2:44Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 4:27Shot by Konopka, saved by Price
  43. P2 5:07Shot by Kuba, saved by Price
  44. P2 5:37Shot by Greening, saved by Price
  45. P2 6:58Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price
  46. P2 7:02Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price
  47. P2 7:17Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 7:34Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price
  49. P2 7:35Konopka: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Condra, O'Brien, Cowen

  50. P2 7:35Konopka: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Condra, O'Brien, Cowen

  51. P2 7:35White: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Konopka, Condra, O'Brien, Cowen

  52. P2 8:19Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson5v4
  53. P2 9:46Shot by Condra, saved by Price
  54. P2 10:18Shot by Michalek, saved by Price
  55. P2 10:34Shot by Eller, saved by Anderson
  56. P2 11:06Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price
  57. P2 11:20Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 11:27Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  59. P2 13:18Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 13:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Anderson
  61. P2 14:28Shot by Spezza, saved by Price
  62. P2 15:44Shot by Foligno, saved by Price
  63. P2 15:45Turris: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Campoli, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Foligno, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen

  64. P2 15:45Blunden: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Campoli, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Foligno, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen

  65. P2 15:45Blunden: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Campoli, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Gonchar, Foligno, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen

  66. P2 17:09Shot by Greening, saved by Price4v5
  67. P2 17:52Shot by Spezza, saved by Price
  68. P2 17:50Shot by Greening, saved by Price
  69. P2 18:53Shot by Leblanc, saved by Anderson
  70. P2 19:49Shot by Gonchar, saved by Price
  71. P2 19:59Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  72. P2 0:00Konopka: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Campoli, Desharnais, Pacioretty · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Michalek, O'Brien, Karlsson

  73. P2 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Period start
  75. P3 0:50Shot by Plekanec, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 1:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price
  77. P3 2:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price
  78. P3 3:48Shot by Cole, saved by Anderson
  79. P3 3:49Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Cole, Markov, Gorges, Desharnais, Pacioretty · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Foligno, Klinkhammer, Gilroy

  80. P3 5:05Goal by Eller (Plekanec, Campoli)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Bourque, Subban, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Condra, O'Brien

  81. P3 5:40Shot by Desharnais, saved by Anderson
  82. P3 7:05Shot by Nokelainen, saved by Anderson
  83. P3 8:23Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Karlsson

  84. P3 8:23Blunden: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Karlsson

  85. P3 8:23Neil: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Karlsson

  86. P3 8:23Neil: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Campoli, Emelin, Blunden, White, Leblanc · OTT Kuba, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Karlsson

  87. P3 9:18Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Anderson5v4
  88. P3 11:21Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  89. P3 11:24Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price
  90. P3 11:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Price
  91. P3 11:33Shot by Palushaj, saved by Anderson
  92. P3 13:08Shot by Bourque, saved by Anderson
  93. P3 13:09Cowen: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  94. P3 13:09Cowen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  95. P3 13:09Eller: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  96. P3 13:09Eller: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  97. P3 13:09Smith: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  98. P3 13:09Bourque: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Bourque, Eller · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Turris, Smith, Cowen

  99. P3 13:41Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price
  100. P3 14:09Shot by Greening, saved by Price
  101. P3 15:14Shot by Foligno, saved by Price
  102. P3 15:26Shot by O'Brien, saved by Price
  103. P3 16:53Shot by Turris, saved by Price
  104. P3 18:11Shot by Staubitz, saved by Anderson
  105. P3 18:33Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Price
  106. P3 0:00Period end
  107. P3 0:00Final