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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 26, 2012·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Ottawa Senators 6, Winnipeg Jets 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

6

Final

Home

Winnipeg Jets

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 80% of the time.

WPG winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Little, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 0:40Shot by Ladd, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 0:51Shot by Spezza, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 1:48Burmistrov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wellwood, Stuart, Jones, Kane, Burmistrov · OTT Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson

  6. P1 2:49Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson4v5
  7. P1 3:50Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec
  8. P1 4:14Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 5:03Shot by Michalek, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 5:10Shot by Spezza, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 5:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 5:46Shot by Foligno, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 6:03Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 8:33Shot by Slater, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 9:41Shot by Wheeler, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 9:42Shot by Wheeler, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 10:31Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 10:56Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 12:25Shot by Slater, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 12:45Shot by Wheeler, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 14:30Shot by Spezza, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 14:31Shot by Michalek, saved by Pavelec
  23. P1 14:57Gonchar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Glass, Jones · OTT Gonchar, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Cowen

  24. P1 15:41Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Anderson5v4
  25. P1 19:33Shot by Spezza, saved by Pavelec
  26. P1 19:34Goal by Neil (Spezza, Karlsson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Stuart, Glass, Jones · OTT Phillips, Neil, Spezza, Smith, Karlsson

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:15Shot by Little, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 0:49Shot by Wheeler, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 1:27Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 1:53Goal by Daugavins (Condra, Smith)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Wellwood, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov · OTT Phillips, Carkner, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  33. P2 2:38Kuba: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  34. P2 3:01Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson5v4
  35. P2 3:02Goal by Miettinen (Bogosian, Wellwood)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Wellwood, Enstrom, Bogosian, Kane · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Condra, O'Brien

  36. P2 4:25Shot by Carkner, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 4:56Shot by Ladd, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 5:05Shot by Little, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 5:41Shot by Smith, saved by Pavelec
  40. P2 6:54Goal by Wellwood (Kane, Hainsey)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Wellwood, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Klinkhammer, O'Brien, Cowen

  41. P2 7:27Shot by Greening, saved by Pavelec
  42. P2 10:48Shot by Carkner, saved by Pavelec
  43. P2 11:02Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 11:53Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 12:05Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Glass · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  46. P2 13:09Enstrom: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Miettinen, Wellwood, Enstrom, Bogosian, Kane · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Klinkhammer

  47. P2 14:06Shot by Phillips, saved by Pavelec4v5
  48. P2 14:46Shot by Slater, saved by Anderson4v5
  49. P2 14:56Spezza: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Stuart, Ladd, Burmistrov · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson

  50. P2 15:37Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson5v4
  51. P2 16:20Shot by Daugavins, saved by Pavelec5v4
  52. P2 16:38Shot by Daugavins, saved by Pavelec5v4
  53. P2 16:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P2 17:14Shot by Little, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 17:26Goal by Turris (Spezza, Karlsson)+28 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Miettinen, Ladd, Little, Bogosian · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Turris, Karlsson

  56. P2 17:46Goal by Miettinen (Slater, Glass)+27 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Miettinen, Slater, Glass, Bogosian · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, Turris, Cowen

  57. P2 18:29Shot by Ladd, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 18:44Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  59. P2 18:52Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 19:27Shot by O'Brien, saved by Pavelec
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:11Shot by Wheeler, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 1:32Shot by Wellwood, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 1:33Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 1:34Daugavins: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)other

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Wellwood, Stuart, Kane, Burmistrov · OTT Gonchar, Carkner, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  67. P3 2:45Shot by Smith, saved by Pavelec
  68. P3 2:54Goal by Alfredsson (Karlsson)+30 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Hainsey, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Bogosian · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Foligno, Turris, Karlsson

  69. P3 5:06Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 7:42Shot by Turris, saved by Pavelec
  71. P3 8:23Shot by Foligno, saved by Pavelec
  72. P3 8:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pavelec
  73. P3 8:36Shot by Slater, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 10:36Shot by Spezza, saved by Pavelec
  75. P3 10:58Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Pavelec
  76. P3 13:04Shot by Carkner, saved by Pavelec
  77. P3 13:10Shot by Carkner, saved by Pavelec
  78. P3 14:04Shot by Smith, saved by Pavelec
  79. P3 14:07Shot by Smith, saved by Pavelec
  80. P3 14:37Shot by Little, saved by Anderson
  81. P3 14:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  82. P3 14:54Shot by Ladd, saved by Anderson
  83. P3 15:00Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  84. P3 15:33Shot by Wellwood, saved by Anderson
  85. P3 16:21Shot by Glass, saved by Anderson
  86. P3 16:26Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  87. P3 16:31Shot by Bogosian, saved by Anderson
  88. P3 16:57Shot by Wheeler, saved by Anderson
  89. P3 17:02Shot by Wellwood, saved by Anderson
  90. P3 17:03Goal by Kane (Wellwood)+45 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Stapleton, Kane · OTT Kuba, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening

  91. P3 17:27Goal by Alfredsson (Kuba, Turris)+46 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Foligno, Turris, Karlsson

  92. P3 18:21Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pavelec
  93. P3 18:38Shot by Enstrom, saved by Anderson6v5
  94. P3 19:20Shot by Enstrom, saved by Anderson6v5
  95. P3 19:26Goal by Michalek (Spezza)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Foligno, Karlsson

  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final