Sun, Apr 1, 2012·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 5, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 29 | 212 | 05 | 04 | 2 | 530 |
| CHI | 110 | 216 | 18 | 01 | 1 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:11MINDevin SetoguchiAssists: Dany Heatley, Marco Scandella · Wrist, 0.38 xG1–0
- P1 10:45CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Nick Leddy, Marcus Kruger · Slap, 0.17 xG1–1
- P1 13:54MINDany HeatleyPPAssists: Mikko Koivu, Devin Setoguchi · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–1
- P2 5:28CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Brent Seabrook, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–2
- P2 5:48MINClayton StonerAssists: Devin Setoguchi, Mikko Koivu · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–2
- P2 6:29MINKyle BrodziakAssists: Tom Gilbert, Stephane Veilleux · Wrist, 0.15 xG4–2
- P2 8:20CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Marian Hossa, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–3
- P3 17:15CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Andrew Shaw · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 2. MIN Erik Christensen scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 4. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 5. CHI Dave Bolland stopped
- 6. MIN Devin Setoguchi scored
Penalties (16)
- P1 5:32MINJustin Falk: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:32CHIJimmy Hayes: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:35MINClayton Stoner: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:35CHIBrandon Bollig: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:43MINCody Almond: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:43CHIAndrew Shaw: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 6:43CHIAndrew Shaw: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P1 6:43MINDarroll Powe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 13:16CHIDave Bolland: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 18:34CHIDylan Olsen: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 1:24MINDarroll Powe: Interference2 min
- P2 9:15MINCody Almond: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:15CHIAndrew Shaw: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:36MINJed Ortmeyer: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:59MINMikko Koivu: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 18:16CHIMarcus Kruger: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brodziak won the faceoff against Kruger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestHeatley – Koivu – Setoguchi13:55
xG 1.12–0.08 (93%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Veilleux – Ortmeyer – Almond4:54
xG 0.09–0.02 (79%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Brodziak – Clutterbuck – Powe12:01
xG 0.16–0.63 (21%)attempts 4–17goals 0–0
- Christensen – Johnson – Zucker7:13
xG 0.10–0.78 (11%)attempts 3–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGilbert – Stoner16:11
xG 0.72–0.35 (67%)attempts 9–15goals 2–1
- Gilbert – Scandella2:40
xG 0.56–0.23 (71%)attempts 3–3goals 1–1
- Scandella – Prosser3:24
xG 0.01–0.26 (5%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Stalberg – Kruger13:17
xG 0.93–0.16 (86%)attempts 15–9goals 2–0
- Mayers – Hossa – Kane3:27
xG 0.21–0.15 (58%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Mayers – Hayes – Bollig2:13
xG 0.02–0.07 (25%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Hossa – Kane – Hayes6:49
xG 0.18–0.23 (44%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestO'Donnell – Olsen10:52
xG 0.59–0.20 (75%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Oduya – Leddy14:25
xG 0.85–0.78 (52%)attempts 17–12goals 2–1
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson18:06
xG 0.47–0.71 (40%)attempts 20–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).