Mon, Jan 21, 2013·TD Garden, Boston
Winnipeg Jets 1, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 111 | 04 | 012 | 00 | 1 | 127 |
| BOS | 112 | 06 | 08 | 01 | 2 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:58WPGChris ThorburnAssists: Paul Postma, Jim Slater · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–0
- P1 14:12BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Tyler Seguin · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Tyler Seguin scored
- 2. WPG Blake Wheeler scored
- 3. BOS Patrice Bergeron scored
- 4. WPG Olli Jokinen stopped
- 5. BOS Chris Bourque stopped
- 6. WPG Bryan Little stopped
Penalties (6)
- P2 1:27BOSDavid Krejci: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:44BOSAndrew Ference: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:20WPGMark Stuart: Interference2 min
- P3 12:31WPGEvander Kane: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 18:49BOSJohnny Boychuk: High sticking2 min
- OT 3:32BOSZdeno Chara: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kelly won the faceoff against Burmistrov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestThorburn – Slater – Scheifele5:02
xG 0.32–0.03 (91%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Antropov – Ladd – Wheeler4:56
xG 0.14–0.13 (51%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Little – Kane3:12
xG 0.02–0.04 (37%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Antropov – Ponikarovsky – Burmistrov7:55
xG 0.08–0.18 (30%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestClitsome – Postma8:43
xG 0.44–0.06 (89%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Enstrom – Byfuglien18:59
xG 0.58–0.38 (60%)attempts 20–15goals 0–1
- Hainsey – Stuart14:59
xG 0.24–0.92 (20%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin11:42
xG 0.97–0.51 (66%)attempts 20–14goals 1–0
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic14:16
xG 0.52–0.29 (64%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
- Kelly – Bourque – Peverley10:02
xG 0.07–0.16 (32%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille6:33
xG 0.06–0.38 (14%)attempts 4–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Boychuk12:23
xG 0.83–0.31 (73%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
- Ference – McQuaid11:40
xG 0.26–0.21 (56%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Ference – Boychuk3:04
xG 0.03–0.08 (26%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).