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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 21, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Florida Panthers 0, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 81% of the time.

OTT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Kovalev, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:24Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 4:19Shot by Mueller, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 4:41Mueller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Latendresse, Turris · FLA Kovalev, Weaver, Mueller, Kulikov, Huberdeau

  7. P1 5:27Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Theodore5v4
  8. P1 5:48Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson5v4
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore5v4
  10. P1 6:50Neil: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Benoit, Methot, Greening, Smith · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Smithson, Skille, Mueller

  11. P1 8:07Shot by Spezza, saved by Theodore4v5
  12. P1 8:12Shot by Spezza, saved by Theodore4v5
  13. P1 8:57Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  14. P1 9:04Ellerby: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Neil, Methot, Turris, Karlsson · FLA Jovanovski, Santorelli, Skille, Matthias, Ellerby

  15. P1 9:11Shot by Gonchar, saved by Theodore5v4
  16. P1 9:58Shot by Benoit, saved by Theodore5v4
  17. P1 10:42Goal by Turris (Wiercioch, Alfredsson)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Benoit, Latendresse, Turris, Wiercioch · FLA Kuba, Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss

  18. P1 12:04Shot by O'Brien, saved by Theodore
  19. P1 12:54Shot by Parros, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 14:11Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 14:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore
  22. P1 15:39Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodore
  23. P1 15:48Shot by Greening, saved by Theodore
  24. P1 16:42Skille: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Regin, Condra, O'Brien · FLA Jovanovski, Parros, Smithson, Skille, Ellerby

  25. P1 18:30Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Theodore5v4
  26. P1 18:38Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodore5v4
  27. P1 19:34Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 3:56Shot by Condra, saved by Theodore
  31. P2 4:36Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 8:09Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 8:31Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 8:39Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Benoit, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby

  35. P2 8:39Ellerby: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Neil, Benoit, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby

  36. P2 8:39Smith: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Neil, Benoit, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby

  37. P2 9:35Shot by Phillips, saved by Theodore4v5
  38. P2 10:07Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore4v5
  39. P2 10:15Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson4v5
  40. P2 11:36Shot by Weaver, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 12:07Goal by Turris (Latendresse, Benoit)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Benoit, Methot, Latendresse, Turris · FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Weiss, Fleischmann, Upshall

  42. P2 12:59Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  43. P2 13:15Kulikov: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Neil, Spezza, Methot, Greening, Karlsson · FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Kulikov

  44. P2 14:20Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodore5v4
  45. P2 14:32Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Anderson5v4
  46. P2 16:28Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 16:38Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  48. P2 16:47Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 16:53Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 16:57Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 17:15Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 18:21Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore
  53. P2 19:32Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:51Shot by Michalek, saved by Theodore
  57. P3 1:05Shot by Mueller, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 1:18Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  59. P3 1:36Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Theodore
  60. P3 2:47Shot by Weaver, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 3:00Shot by Weaver, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 3:09Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore
  63. P3 4:36Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 5:19Shot by Ellerby, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 7:10Shot by Skille, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 10:14Methot: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Methot, Latendresse, Turris, Karlsson · FLA Kuba, Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Skille

  67. P3 10:49Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson4v5
  68. P3 11:17Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore4v5
  69. P3 12:10Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson4v5
  70. P3 12:11Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson4v5
  71. P3 13:46Shot by Ellerby, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 13:57Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  73. P3 14:36Shot by Benoit, saved by Theodore
  74. P3 15:30Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 15:47Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 16:16Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  77. P3 17:14Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 17:16Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson
  79. P3 17:35Goal by O'Brien, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Regin, Condra, O'Brien · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss, Fleischmann, Kulikov

  80. P3 18:56Goal by Silfverberg (Spezza, Michalek)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Silfverberg · FLA Jovanovski, Parros, Upshall, Santorelli, Kulikov

  81. P3 19:12Shot by Condra, saved by Theodore
  82. P3 19:58Shot by Skille, saved by Anderson
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final