Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 24, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Islanders 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

New York Islanders

7

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:12Goal by Gunnarsson (Franson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · NYI Carkner, Aucoin, McDonald, Finley, Ullstrom

  3. P1 2:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Scrivens
  4. P1 2:35Shot by Moulson, saved by Scrivens
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Bozak, saved by Nabokov
  6. P1 4:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Nabokov
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nabokov
  8. P1 6:16Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nabokov
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Okposo, saved by Scrivens
  10. P1 6:31Shot by Okposo, saved by Scrivens
  11. P1 8:35Shot by Strait, saved by Scrivens
  12. P1 8:39Goal by Moulson (Tavares)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Kostka · NYI Streit, Moulson, Okposo, Strait, Tavares

  13. P1 9:25Shot by Hamonic, saved by Scrivens
  14. P1 9:44Goal by Kadri (Liles, Frattin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komarov, Frattin, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Aucoin, McDonald, MacDonald, Hamonic, Ullstrom

  15. P1 10:26Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nabokov
  16. P1 10:29Shot by Orr, saved by Nabokov
  17. P1 12:07Shot by Franson, saved by Nabokov
  18. P1 12:25Shot by Komarov, saved by Nabokov
  19. P1 12:48Goal by Grabovski (Frattin, Gunnarsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin · NYI Carkner, Moulson, Okposo, Hamonic, Tavares

  20. P1 13:23Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Nabokov
  21. P1 13:44Shot by Kostka, saved by Nabokov
  22. P1 15:02Shot by Boyes, saved by Scrivens
  23. P1 15:58Shot by Hamonic, saved by Scrivens
  24. P1 16:29Okposo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Kostka · NYI Moulson, Okposo, MacDonald, Hamonic, Tavares

  25. P1 18:04Grabner: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Franson, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  26. P1 19:15Shot by Kostka, saved by Nabokov5v4
  27. P1 19:33Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov5v4
  28. P1 19:55Shot by Franson, saved by Nabokov5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:02Shot by Moulson, saved by Scrivens
  32. P2 1:13Shot by MacDonald, saved by Scrivens
  33. P2 1:36Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nabokov
  34. P2 1:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Scrivens
  35. P2 2:35Shot by Strait, saved by Scrivens
  36. P2 2:58Shot by Frattin, saved by Nabokov
  37. P2 5:10Shot by Nielsen, saved by Scrivens
  38. P2 5:50Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nabokov
  39. P2 6:37Shot by McDonald, saved by Scrivens
  40. P2 7:23Shot by Franson, saved by Nabokov
  41. P2 7:27Shot by McClement, saved by Nabokov
  42. P2 8:14Shot by Grabovski, saved by Nabokov
  43. P2 10:27Shot by Cizikas, saved by Scrivens
  44. P2 10:30Grabovski: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, Steckel, McClement, Gardiner · NYI Reasoner, Streit, Finley, Martin, Cizikas

  45. P2 10:59Shot by Moulson, saved by Scrivens4v5
  46. P2 11:44Goal by Streit (Boyes, Tavares)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Franson, Komarov, Gunnarsson, Bozak · NYI Streit, Boyes, Moulson, MacDonald, Tavares

  47. P2 12:47Shot by MacDonald, saved by Scrivens
  48. P2 13:10Goal by Boyes (Nielsen, Grabner)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · NYI Carkner, Boyes, Nielsen, Grabner, Strait

  49. P2 15:15Shot by Kadri, saved by Nabokov
  50. P2 15:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Nabokov
  51. P2 17:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Scrivens
  52. P2 19:18Shot by Bozak, saved by Nabokov
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nabokov
  56. P3 0:18Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nabokov
  57. P3 0:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Nabokov
  58. P3 1:14Shot by Okposo, saved by Scrivens
  59. P3 3:23Goal by Grabner (Boyes, Nielsen)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Kostka · NYI Boyes, Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  60. P3 3:46Shot by Okposo, saved by Scrivens
  61. P3 4:35Goal by Aucoin (Ullstrom, McDonald)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komarov, Frattin, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Carkner, Aucoin, McDonald, Strait, Ullstrom

  62. P3 4:57Shot by McClement, saved by Nabokov
  63. P3 5:04Shot by Cizikas, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 5:05Shot by MacDonald, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 5:10Shot by MacDonald, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 5:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov
  67. P3 7:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov
  68. P3 8:00Kadri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Gardiner, Kadri · NYI Reasoner, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin, Cizikas

  69. P3 9:56Shot by Hamonic, saved by Reimer4v5
  70. P3 10:02Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 10:06Shot by Reasoner, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 10:27Shot by Liles, saved by Nabokov
  73. P3 11:20Goal by Moulson, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Kostka · NYI Carkner, Streit, Moulson, Okposo, Tavares

  74. P3 11:20Carkner: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Kostka · NYI Carkner, Streit, Moulson, Okposo, Tavares

  75. P3 12:14Shot by Kostka, saved by Nabokov5v4
  76. P3 12:23Shot by Gardiner, saved by Nabokov5v4
  77. P3 12:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Nabokov5v4
  78. P3 13:19Shot by Frattin, saved by Nabokov5v4
  79. P3 13:47Shot by Kostka, saved by Nabokov
  80. P3 14:35Shot by Moulson, saved by Reimer
  81. P3 17:47Goal by Frattin (Kadri, Gunnarsson)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Kessel, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Kostka, Kadri · NYI Okposo, MacDonald, Hamonic, Ullstrom, Tavares

  82. P3 18:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov6v5
  83. P3 18:11Shot by Kessel, saved by Nabokov6v5
  84. P3 18:15Aucoin: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Kostka, Bozak, Kadri · NYI Carkner, Aucoin, McDonald, Strait, Ullstrom

  85. P3 18:50Goal by Grabner, unassisted6v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  86. P3 19:31Shot by Franson, saved by Nabokov6v4
  87. P3 19:33MacDonald: Holding (2 min)6v4

    On ice: TOR Franson, Komarov, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Kadri · NYI McDonald, MacDonald, Hamonic, Cizikas

  88. P3 19:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Nabokovother
  89. P3 19:55Shot by Kadri, saved by Nabokovother
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final