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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 24, 2013·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 3, Florida Panthers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 81% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Kopecky, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:10Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  4. P1 2:12Shot by Greening, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 2:28Shot by Regin, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 2:40Shot by Regin, saved by Theodore
  7. P1 3:44Shot by Methot, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 3:54Shot by Phillips, saved by Theodore
  9. P1 4:52Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 5:21Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  11. P1 8:16Gonchar: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Upshall, Matthias, Ellerby, Shore · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Neil, Greening, Smith

  12. P1 8:24Goal by Fleischmann (Campbell, Kopecky)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kovalev, Kuba, Campbell, Kopecky, Fleischmann · OTT Phillips, Benoit, Condra, O'Brien

  13. P1 8:38Fleischmann: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kovalev, Kuba, Campbell, Fleischmann, Santorelli · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Silfverberg

  14. P1 8:48Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore4v5
  15. P1 9:03Shot by Michalek, saved by Theodore4v5
  16. P1 9:37Upshall: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Kuba, Weaver, Upshall, Skille · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Silfverberg

  17. P1 9:59Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore3v5
  18. P1 10:16Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodore3v5
  19. P1 10:20Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore3v5
  20. P1 10:23Shot by Gonchar, saved by Theodore3v5
  21. P1 11:21Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore4v5
  22. P1 11:25Goal by Phillips (Methot, Smith)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Smithson, Weaver, Skille, Ellerby · OTT Phillips, Neil, Methot, Greening, Smith

  23. P1 12:01Shot by Gonchar, saved by Theodore
  24. P1 12:29Silfverberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Mueller, Kulikov, Huberdeau · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Silfverberg

  25. P1 12:53Shot by Kuba, saved by Anderson5v4
  26. P1 14:07Shot by Kovalev, saved by Anderson5v4
  27. P1 15:18Alfredsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Upshall, Matthias, Kulikov, Shore · OTT Alfredsson, Benoit, Latendresse, Turris, Wiercioch

  28. P1 15:24Shot by Kuba, saved by Anderson5v4
  29. P1 16:32Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson5v4
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:51Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  33. P2 2:03Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  34. P2 2:43Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 2:52Shot by O'Brien, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 3:27Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 4:12Shot by Weaver, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 6:09Methot: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Smithson, Weaver, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Skille, Kulikov · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Silfverberg

  39. P2 6:44Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Anderson5v4
  40. P2 7:25Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson5v4
  41. P2 7:43Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson5v4
  42. P2 8:19Shot by Methot, saved by Theodore
  43. P2 8:28Goal by Karlsson, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kovalev, Kuba, Skille, Matthias, Kulikov · OTT Gonchar, Methot, Regin, Condra, Karlsson

  44. P2 9:43Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 10:15Shot by Kovalev, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 10:38Shot by Shore, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 10:42Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 11:40Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  49. P2 11:47Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodore
  50. P2 11:47Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  51. P2 12:46Shot by Kovalev, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 17:17Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 18:05Shot by Kuba, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 18:22Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Theodore
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:59Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Theodore
  58. P3 0:45Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 1:32Shore: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Upshall, Matthias, Ellerby, Shore · OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Smith, Karlsson

  60. P3 1:41Karlsson: Closing hand on puck (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Smithson, Weaver, Upshall · OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Silfverberg

  61. P3 4:27Shot by Benoit, saved by Theodore
  62. P3 4:51Shot by Upshall, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 7:56Shot by Smith, saved by Theodore
  64. P3 9:31Shot by Gonchar, saved by Theodore
  65. P3 9:44Shot by Phillips, saved by Theodore
  66. P3 9:54Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 10:49Campbell: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: FLA Kovalev, Campbell, Fleischmann, Santorelli, Kulikov · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Latendresse, Turris, Karlsson

  68. P3 10:49Shot by Latendresse, saved by Theodoreother
  69. P3 11:40Shot by Neil, saved by Theodore
  70. P3 12:33Shot by O'Brien, saved by Theodore
  71. P3 12:44Shot by Karlsson, saved by Theodore
  72. P3 12:52Shot by Regin, saved by Theodore
  73. P3 13:52Shot by Mueller, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 14:05Shot by Turris, saved by Theodore
  75. P3 15:29Shot by Matthias, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 18:44Goal by Spezza (Michalek, Methot)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kovalev, Campbell, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Mueller, Kulikov · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Silfverberg

  77. P3 19:52Shot by Mueller, saved by Anderson6v5
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final