Fri, Jan 25, 2013·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 5, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 213 | 18 | 213 | 534 |
| ANA | 011 | 09 | 010 | 030 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:13VANDaniel SedinPPGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Snap, 0.34 xG1–0
- P1 18:40VANMason RaymondPPAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Dan Hamhuis · Tip-in, 0.30 xG2–0
- P2 16:37VANAaron VolpattiUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–0
- P3 1:18VANZack KassianPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–0
- P3 15:01VANMason RaymondAssists: Jordan Schroeder · Wrist, 0.03 xG5–0
Penalties (17)
- P1 1:51VANAaron Volpatti: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:51ANAMatt Beleskey: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:11ANADaniel Winnik: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 8:42ANARyan Getzlaf: Cross checking2 min
- P1 17:01ANABryan Allen: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 3:32VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:42ANALuca Sbisa: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P2 12:36ANANick Bonino: Holding2 min
- P2 18:44ANACorey Perry: Charging2 min
- P2 18:44ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:33VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:33ANAMatt Beleskey: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:33ANAMatt Beleskey: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:22VANKeith Ballard: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:22ANACorey Perry: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:18VANDan Hamhuis: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:51ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Burrows
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLapierre – Ebbett – Volpatti4:37
xG 0.17–0.10 (63%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Higgins – Lapierre – Hansen2:19
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Raymond – Weise – Schroeder6:48
xG 0.05–0.34 (14%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Hansen7:28
xG 0.09–0.47 (15%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBallard – Tanev10:29
xG 0.39–0.14 (73%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Edler – Garrison10:22
xG 0.27–0.29 (48%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa10:57
xG 0.16–0.64 (20%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Palmieri11:34
xG 0.61–0.10 (86%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Koivu – Winnik – Cogliano6:59
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Selanne – Ryan – Bonino9:38
xG 0.51–0.32 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Beleskey – Holland – Smith-Pelly3:53
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLydman – Beauchemin12:18
xG 0.51–0.15 (77%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Allen – Fowler13:28
xG 0.71–0.52 (58%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Souray – Sbisa11:49
xG 0.43–0.28 (61%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).