Sun, Jan 27, 2013·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 1, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 113 | 05 | 124 |
| SJS | 29 | 18 | 110 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:43SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Brad Stuart · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–1
- P1 3:26SJSJoe PavelskiGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 11:05VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Jannik Hansen · Wrist, 0.40 xG1–2
- P2 14:27SJSPatrick MarleauPPAssists: Dan Boyle, Logan Couture · Deflected, 0.21 xG1–3
- P3 8:14SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau · Slap, 0.09 xG1–4
Penalties (25)
- P1 0:00SJSRyane Clowe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 0:00VANAlexandre Burrows: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 5:48VANKevin Bieksa: Interference2 min
- P1 8:38VANZack Kassian: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:38SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:01SJSBrad Stuart: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:20VANKevin Bieksa: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:52SJSRyane Clowe: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 19:44SJSBrad Stuart: Interference2 min
- P2 1:33VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:31SJSRyane Clowe: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:36VANMaxim Lapierre: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 19:33SJSRyane Clowe: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:33SJSRyane Clowe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 19:33SJSRyane Clowe: Misconduct10 min
- P2 19:33SJSRyane Clowe: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 7:29VANMason Raymond: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 9:16VANKevin Bieksa: Charging2 min
- P3 12:05SJSDouglas Murray: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:05VANAaron Volpatti: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:05SJSDouglas Murray: Elbowing2 min
- P3 16:26SJSAndrew Desjardins: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:26VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:31VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:56VANKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Higgins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Burrows – Hansen5:42
xG 0.83–0.04 (95%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Raymond – Weise – Schroeder6:09
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Ebbett – Volpatti2:21
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Kassian6:58
xG 0.09–0.17 (34%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Garrison6:13
xG 0.66–0.15 (81%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Ballard – Tanev10:29
xG 0.52–0.05 (92%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Edler8:17
xG 0.14–0.10 (59%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Marleau – Pavelski6:28
xG 0.34–0.27 (56%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Gomez – Burish – Desjardins4:07
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- Handzus – Galiardi – Wingels6:09
xG 0.04–0.14 (21%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Havlat – Clowe – Couture3:23
xG 0.02–0.64 (3%)attempts 1–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Irwin2:42
xG 0.13–0.03 (82%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Stuart – Vlasic11:35
xG 0.33–0.28 (54%)attempts 7–14goals 1–0
- Murray – Braun6:45
xG 0.03–0.10 (23%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).