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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 31, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, New York Rangers 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:24Goal by Malkin (Despres, Letang)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan · PIT Malkin, Neal, Letang, Jeffrey, Despres

  3. P1 3:22Nash: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  4. P1 3:59Shot by McDonagh, saved by Vokoun4v5
  5. P1 5:02Shot by Letang, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  6. P1 5:20Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  7. P1 5:32Shot by Kennedy, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 7:27Shot by Letang, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 8:21Shot by Gaborik, saved by Vokoun
  10. P1 9:24Shot by Nash, saved by Vokoun
  11. P1 10:23Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 12:01Neal: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Nash, Staal, Del Zotto · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  13. P1 13:01Shot by Stralman, saved by Vokoun5v4
  14. P1 17:11Shot by Girardi, saved by Vokoun
  15. P1 17:27Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 18:53Shot by Gaborik, saved by Vokoun
  17. P1 19:03Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 19:45Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 19:47Shot by Malkin, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 19:48Malkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pyatt, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto · PIT Glass, Malkin, Neal, Letang, Despres

  21. P1 19:48Staal: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pyatt, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto · PIT Glass, Malkin, Neal, Letang, Despres

  22. P1 19:54Shot by Orpik, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:07Shot by Stepan, saved by Vokoun4v4
  26. P2 0:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  27. P2 0:22Girardi: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · PIT Orpik, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang

  28. P2 0:32Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  29. P2 1:03Shot by Letang, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  30. P2 1:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist3v4
  31. P2 1:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P2 3:33Shot by Pyatt, saved by Vokoun
  33. P2 4:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Vokoun
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Gaborik, saved by Vokoun
  35. P2 5:49Cooke: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Asham, Halpern, Stralman, Bickel, Gilroy · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Martin, Kennedy, Sutter

  36. P2 7:11Del Zotto: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Girardi, Ferriero, Del Zotto, Stepan · PIT Cooke, Engelland, Glass, Letang, Vitale

  37. P2 9:11Shot by Stepan, saved by Vokoun
  38. P2 9:13Shot by Stepan, saved by Vokoun
  39. P2 9:55Shot by Richards, saved by Vokoun
  40. P2 11:41Shot by McDonagh, saved by Vokoun
  41. P2 12:35Hagelin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Staal, Girardi, Hagelin · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  42. P2 12:54Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  43. P2 13:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  44. P2 14:48Dupuis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Stralman, McDonagh, Hagelin · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kennedy, Sutter

  45. P2 14:54Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Vokoun5v4
  46. P2 14:57Shot by Nash, saved by Vokoun5v4
  47. P2 16:39Shot by Richards, saved by Vokoun5v4
  48. P2 16:57Shot by Stralman, saved by Vokoun
  49. P2 18:39Shot by Nash, saved by Vokoun
  50. P2 19:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 19:18Gaborik: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Rupp, Staal, Ferriero, Del Zotto, Stepan · PIT Dupuis, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Despres

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:28Goal by Neal (Crosby, Malkin)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Halpern, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Neal, Letang

  55. P3 0:44Shot by Kennedy, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 0:46Shot by Martin, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 1:12Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 2:08Shot by Stepan, saved by Vokoun
  59. P3 3:26Shot by Martin, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 4:14Shot by Richards, saved by Vokoun
  61. P3 5:52Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 8:02Shot by Girardi, saved by Vokoun
  63. P3 8:14Despres: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Girardi, Ferriero, McDonagh, Hagelin · PIT Malkin, Neal, Letang, Jeffrey, Despres

  64. P3 9:52Shot by Stralman, saved by Vokoun5v4
  65. P3 10:15Shot by Stralman, saved by Vokoun
  66. P3 10:23Goal by Despres (Dupuis, Adams)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Rupp, Boyle, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · PIT Adams, Dupuis, Engelland, Letang, Despres

  67. P3 11:16Shot by Despres, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 12:09Halpern: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Asham, Halpern, Stralman, Bickel, Gilroy · PIT Malkin, Neal, Letang, Jeffrey, Despres

  69. P3 13:24Shot by Martin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  70. P3 14:36Shot by Stralman, saved by Vokoun
  71. P3 15:12Shot by Richards, saved by Vokoun
  72. P3 15:48Shot by Girardi, saved by Vokoun
  73. P3 18:03Shot by Stepan, saved by Vokoun
  74. P3 18:14Shot by Kennedy, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final