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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 2, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Edmonton Oilers 1, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Edmonton Oilers

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 65% of the time.

COL winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Goal by Yakupov (Hemsky, Gagner)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Zanon, O'Byrne, Stastny, Olver · EDM Hemsky, Smid, Petry, Gagner, Yakupov

  3. P1 3:14Shot by Hall, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:48Shot by Hemsky, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 5:01Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 6:01Shot by Hejda, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 6:32Fistric: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Hunwick, Stastny, Johnson, Olver · EDM Whitney, Fistric, Eberle, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins

  8. P1 7:01Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  9. P1 7:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  10. P1 8:06Shot by Hunwick, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  11. P1 8:31Shot by Sgarbossa, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  12. P1 8:48Shot by Hall, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 9:41Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Dubnyk
  14. P1 9:42Bordeleau: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Zanon, Van Der Gulik, O'Byrne, Bordeleau, Duchene · EDM Schultz, Hemsky, Gagner, Schultz, Yakupov

  15. P1 12:23Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 13:20Shot by Schultz, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 15:23Hartikainen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Van Der Gulik, Hejda, Bordeleau, Wilson, Sgarbossa · EDM Schultz, Gagner, Schultz, Hartikainen, Yakupov

  18. P1 15:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  19. P1 15:54Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  20. P1 16:28Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  21. P1 16:34Shot by Hunwick, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  22. P1 17:00Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  23. P1 18:41Shot by Hall, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 19:47Shot by Hemsky, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:02Shot by Schultz, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 1:38Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 2:27Shot by Smyth, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 2:39Shot by Van Der Gulik, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P2 3:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  32. P2 3:30Shot by Hartikainen, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 3:52Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 6:29Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 7:17Shot by Hartikainen, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 8:34Belanger: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Kobasew, Hejda, McLeod, Wilson, Olver, Duchene · EDM Smyth, Belanger, Smid, Petrell, Petry

  37. P2 9:28Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  38. P2 10:04Lander: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Stastny, Johnson, McGinn, Duchene · EDM Smid, Petrell, Petry, Lander

  39. P2 10:23Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk5v3
  40. P2 10:32Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk5v3
  41. P2 10:36Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  42. P2 10:48Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  43. P2 12:07Goal by Parenteau (McGinn, Wilson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, Mitchell, McGinn, Wilson · EDM Smid, Petry, Eberle, Lander, Nugent-Hopkins

  44. P2 12:49Shot by Eberle, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 13:24Shot by Hemsky, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 13:26Van Der Gulik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Zanon, Kobasew, Van Der Gulik, O'Byrne, McLeod · EDM Hemsky, Whitney, Fistric, Gagner, Yakupov

  47. P2 14:41Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Varlamov4v5
  48. P2 15:36Goal by McGinn (Duchene)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Van Der Gulik, Hunwick, Johnson, McGinn, Duchene · EDM Hemsky, Whitney, Petry, Gagner, Yakupov

  49. P2 16:24Shot by Schultz, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 16:25Shot by Hall, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 16:37Shot by Parenteau, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P2 17:30Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 18:28Shot by Kobasew, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:08Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 0:26Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 0:52Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  59. P3 3:04Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 3:53Shot by Hall, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 4:52Shot by Petry, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 7:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 7:27Smid: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hunwick, Johnson, McGinn, Duchene · EDM Smid, Petry, Eberle, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins

  64. P3 7:27Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  65. P3 8:39Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  66. P3 8:54Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  67. P3 9:38Shot by Hejduk, saved by Dubnyk
  68. P3 9:48Shot by Kobasew, saved by Dubnyk
  69. P3 9:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 10:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 12:44Shot by Hartikainen, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 12:45Shot by Smyth, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 12:59Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 13:09Schultz: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hunwick, Stastny, Johnson, McGinn, Duchene · EDM Schultz, Eberle, Schultz, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins

  75. P3 13:29Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  76. P3 14:07Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov5v4
  77. P3 16:40Shot by Yakupov, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 16:40Stastny: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Zanon, Hejda, Mitchell, Stastny · EDM Hemsky, Smid, Petry, Gagner, Yakupov

  79. P3 17:40Shot by Yakupov, saved by Varlamov4v6
  80. P3 18:50Goal by Stastny (Mitchell, Duchene)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, O'Byrne, Mitchell, Stastny, Duchene · EDM Smyth, Belanger, Hemsky, Whitney, Gagner, Yakupov

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final