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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 2, 2013·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Nashville Predators 2, San Jose Sharks 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 60% of the time.

SJS winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 0:59Yip: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Stuart, Pavelski, Sheppard · NSH Hannan, Legwand, Weber, Yip, Bourque

  4. P1 2:56Murray: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Murray, Burish, Vlasic, Desjardins, Galiardi · NSH Legwand, Weber, Wilson, Smith

  5. P1 3:13Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi4v5
  6. P1 4:52Shot by Fisher, saved by Niemi4v5
  7. P1 4:58Shot by Blum, saved by Niemi
  8. P1 5:27Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 8:54Shot by Braun, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:00Shot by Gomez, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 10:11Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 10:38Shot by Clune, saved by Niemi
  13. P1 14:34Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 15:43Shot by Vlasic, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 16:15Blum: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Gomez, Havlat, Murray, Braun · NSH Gaustad, Yip, Spaling, Blum, Ellis

  16. P1 16:33Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne5v4
  17. P1 17:36Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne5v4
  18. P1 17:46Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi5v4
  19. P1 19:39Boyle: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Clowe, Burish, Vlasic, Desjardins · NSH Fisher, Yip, Wilson, Josi, Ellis

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:56Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi4v5
  23. P2 2:53Shot by Klein, saved by Niemi
  24. P2 3:29Shot by Blum, saved by Niemi
  25. P2 3:40Shot by Blum, saved by Niemi
  26. P2 4:29Murray: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Gomez, Murray, Burish, Galiardi, Braun · NSH Gill, Halischuk, Spaling, Ellis, Smith

  27. P2 6:05Fisher: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Burish, Pavelski, Vlasic · NSH Fisher, Kostitsyn, Blum, Josi, Bourque

  28. P2 6:13Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi4v4
  29. P2 6:44Shot by Marleau, saved by Rinne5v4
  30. P2 6:46Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne5v4
  31. P2 6:48Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne5v4
  32. P2 7:07Marleau: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Couture · NSH Hannan, Gaustad, Weber, Kostitsyn

  33. P2 9:38Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 9:41Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 10:57Shot by Burish, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 11:19Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi
  37. P2 14:28Shot by Galiardi, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 14:58Shot by Gaustad, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 17:01Legwand: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Stuart, Clowe, Pavelski, Sheppard, Couture · NSH Legwand, Klein, Kostitsyn, Josi, Bourque

  40. P2 18:28Shot by Gomez, saved by Rinne5v4
  41. P2 19:21Shot by Handzus, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 19:27Shot by Burish, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 19:28Shot by Handzus, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:38Shot by Vlasic, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 0:59Goal by Kostitsyn (Wilson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Stuart, Pavelski · NSH Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Wilson, Josi

  48. P3 1:10Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  49. P3 1:19Shot by Josi, saved by Niemi
  50. P3 1:32Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi
  51. P3 1:50Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi
  52. P3 2:39Shot by Vlasic, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 5:23Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 6:49Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 7:49Shot by Josi, saved by Niemi
  56. P3 10:34Shot by Sheppard, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 11:25Shot by Yip, saved by Niemi
  58. P3 12:26Smith: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Stuart, Clowe, Sheppard, Couture · NSH Klein, Kostitsyn, Spaling, Josi, Smith

  59. P3 13:39Goal by Havlat (Gomez)5v4+32 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Gomez, Havlat, Clowe, Braun, Demers · NSH Hannan, Fisher, Weber, Kostitsyn

  60. P3 15:19Shot by Fisher, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 16:27Shot by Thornton, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 18:18Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:30Shot by Stuart, saved by Rinne4v4
  66. OT 2:22Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemi4v4
  67. OT 2:48Havlat: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Stuart, Havlat, Braun · NSH Hannan, Legwand, Weber, Wilson

  68. OT 4:51Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemi4v4
  69. OT 5:00Period end
  70. SO Period start
  71. SO Shot by Handzus, saved by Rinneother
  72. SO Shot by Legwand, saved by Niemiother
  73. SO Shot by Clowe, saved by Rinneother
  74. SO Goal by Smith, unassistedother
  75. SO Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinneother
  76. SO Period end
  77. SO Final