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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 7, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 1, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 57% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:29Goal by Miller (Kreider, Staal)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Staal, Del Zotto, Kreider, Miller · NYI Streit, Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, Strait

  4. P1 2:10Shot by Gilroy, saved by Nabokov
  5. P1 3:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:41Shot by Grabner, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 5:00Shot by Powe, saved by Nabokov
  8. P1 6:25Shot by Reasoner, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 6:29Shot by Reasoner, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 6:30Shot by Martin, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 12:18Shot by Powe, saved by Nabokov
  12. P1 13:23Shot by Pyatt, saved by Nabokov
  13. P1 13:52Shot by Richards, saved by Nabokov
  14. P1 13:58Shot by Pyatt, saved by Nabokov
  15. P1 14:01Shot by Staal, saved by Nabokov
  16. P1 14:04Goal by Gaborik (Staal, Richards)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pyatt, Gaborik, Staal, Del Zotto · NYI Streit, Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, Strait

  17. P1 15:49Nash: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Stepan · NYI Boyes, Moulson, Finley, Hamonic, Tavares

  18. P1 17:34Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 18:07Shot by Hagelin, saved by Nabokov
  20. P1 18:36Shot by Grabner, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:55Shot by Pyatt, saved by Nabokov
  24. P2 3:09Shot by McDonagh, saved by Nabokov
  25. P2 3:50Miller: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Stepan · NYI Boyes, Moulson, Finley, Hamonic, Tavares

  26. P2 5:11Shot by Callahan, saved by Nabokov4v5
  27. P2 5:46Shot by MacDonald, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  28. P2 6:46Martin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Nash, Stralman, Del Zotto · NYI Boyes, Moulson, Strait, Hickey, Martin

  29. P2 8:02Shot by Stralman, saved by Nabokov5v4
  30. P2 10:08Shot by Aucoin, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 10:40Shot by McDonald, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 11:13Goal by Tavares (Moulson, Finley)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Kreider · NYI Boyes, Moulson, Finley, Hamonic, Tavares

  33. P2 13:09Shot by Boyes, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 14:36Shot by Gaborik, saved by Nabokov
  35. P2 16:08Shot by McDonagh, saved by Nabokov
  36. P2 16:36Moulson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Kreider, Miller · NYI Streit, Boyes, Moulson, Hickey, Tavares

  37. P2 16:52Shot by Richards, saved by Nabokov5v4
  38. P2 17:28Shot by Martin, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  39. P2 17:38Shot by Strait, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  40. P2 17:59Shot by Grabner, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  41. P2 18:11Goal by Miller (McDonagh)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Staal, McDonagh, Kreider, Miller · NYI Reasoner, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin

  42. P2 19:37Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 19:37McDonagh: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pyatt, Gaborik, Stralman, McDonagh · NYI Streit, Aucoin, McDonald, Hickey, Ullstrom

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:56Shot by Hamonic, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 2:29Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Nabokov
  48. P3 4:09Powe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Asham, Halpern, Stralman, Powe, McDonagh · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, MacDonald, Hickey

  49. P3 4:39Shot by Tavares, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  50. P3 4:48Shot by Streit, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  51. P3 7:18Shot by Hickey, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P3 8:33Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 8:48Shot by Nash, saved by Nabokov
  54. P3 9:49Shot by Martin, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 11:13Shot by Hagelin, saved by Nabokov
  56. P3 11:19Shot by Stralman, saved by Nabokov
  57. P3 11:28McDonagh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Stralman, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan · NYI Streit, Aucoin, McDonald, Strait, Ullstrom

  58. P3 12:06Shot by Tavares, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  59. P3 13:45Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 15:29Shot by Grabner, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 15:54Shot by Callahan, saved by Nabokov
  62. P3 17:52Goal by McDonagh, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Kreider, Miller · NYI Streit, Boyes, Moulson, Grabner, Strait, Tavares

  63. P3 19:11Shot by Ullstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 19:32Shot by Gilroy, saved by Nabokov
  65. P3 19:46Shot by Grabner, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final