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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 9, 2013·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Staal, saved by Bryzgalov
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Corvo, saved by Bryzgalov
  4. P1 0:17Goal by Tlusty (Corvo, Staal)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Knuble, Timonen, Schenn, Read, Couturier · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty

  5. P1 3:49Shot by Talbot, saved by Ward
  6. P1 4:16Shot by Couturier, saved by Ward
  7. P1 4:56Shot by Corvo, saved by Bryzgalov
  8. P1 6:34Wallace: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Gervais, McGinn · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Brent, Wallace, Westgarth

  9. P1 6:34Wallace: Game misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Gervais, McGinn · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Brent, Wallace, Westgarth

  10. P1 6:34Coburn: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Gervais, McGinn · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Brent, Wallace, Westgarth

  11. P1 8:11Sanguinetti: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Knuble, Gervais, Grossmann, Schenn · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, LaRose, Sanguinetti

  12. P1 8:37Shot by Brière, saved by Ward5v3
  13. P1 8:42Shot by Brière, saved by Ward5v3
  14. P1 9:15Shot by Couturier, saved by Ward5v3
  15. P1 9:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ward5v3
  16. P1 10:04Knuble: Interference (2 min)5v3

    On ice: PHI Knuble, Foster, Voracek, Schenn, Read · CAR Gleason, Staal, Faulk

  17. P1 10:31Shot by Schenn, saved by Ward4v4
  18. P1 12:56Shot by Corvo, saved by Bryzgalov
  19. P1 13:52Goal by Schenn (Timonen, Voracek)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Voracek, Schenn, Schenn, McGinn · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Tlusty, Sanguinetti

  20. P1 14:16Shot by McGinn, saved by Ward
  21. P1 14:22Shot by Foster, saved by Ward
  22. P1 15:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov
  23. P1 15:49Shot by Harrison, saved by Bryzgalov
  24. P1 16:13Shot by Knuble, saved by Ward
  25. P1 16:23Shot by Couturier, saved by Ward
  26. P1 16:57Shot by Voracek, saved by Ward
  27. P1 17:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov
  28. P1 17:49Shot by Semin, saved by Bryzgalov
  29. P1 18:36Shot by Grossmann, saved by Ward
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:33Goal by Read (Knuble)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Knuble, Timonen, Schenn, Read, Couturier · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Sanguinetti

  33. P2 2:15Shot by Corvo, saved by Bryzgalov
  34. P2 2:18Shot by Bowman, saved by Bryzgalov
  35. P2 2:40Shot by Corvo, saved by Bryzgalov
  36. P2 5:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov
  37. P2 5:20Shot by Brière, saved by Ward
  38. P2 5:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Ward
  39. P2 6:36Semin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Talbot, Schenn, Rinaldo, Couturier · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  40. P2 6:50Shot by Voracek, saved by Ward5v4
  41. P2 8:28Shot by Knuble, saved by Ward5v4
  42. P2 10:07Harrison: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Gervais, Grossmann, Rinaldo · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  43. P2 10:07Rinaldo: Diving (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Gervais, Grossmann, Rinaldo · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  44. P2 11:15Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  45. P2 11:17Goal by Skinner (Staal, Pitkanen)4v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Brière, Coburn, Gervais, Giroux · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Staal, Skinner

  46. P2 11:32Goal by Voracek (Schenn, Bryzgalov)4v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Gervais, Voracek, Schenn · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Staal, Skinner

  47. P2 12:29Shot by Faulk, saved by Bryzgalov
  48. P2 14:12Shot by Talbot, saved by Ward
  49. P2 14:25Shot by Foster, saved by Ward
  50. P2 16:16Knuble: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Knuble, Timonen, Brière, Giroux, Schenn · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  51. P2 18:05Shot by Faulk, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:33Shot by Simmonds, saved by Ward
  55. P3 1:57Shot by LaRose, saved by Bryzgalov
  56. P3 2:05Shot by Harrison, saved by Bryzgalov
  57. P3 2:36Shot by McGinn, saved by Ward
  58. P3 5:54Shot by Read, saved by Ward
  59. P3 7:50Shot by LaRose, saved by Bryzgalov
  60. P3 7:58Goal by Corvo (Jokinen, Gleason)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Foster, Talbot, Coburn, Rinaldo · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Brent

  61. P3 8:58Shot by Corvo, saved by Bryzgalov
  62. P3 9:43Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bryzgalov
  63. P3 10:03Shot by LaRose, saved by Bryzgalov
  64. P3 10:05Shot by Bowman, saved by Bryzgalov
  65. P3 11:07Grossmann: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Foster, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, McGinn · CAR Pitkanen, Brent, Dwyer, Faulk, Skinner

  66. P3 11:49Shot by Staal, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  67. P3 13:31Shot by LaRose, saved by Bryzgalov
  68. P3 16:32Shot by Semin, saved by Bryzgalov
  69. P3 16:41Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bryzgalov
  70. P3 18:13Shot by Brière, saved by Ward
  71. P3 19:01Shot by Giroux, saved by Ward
  72. P3 19:18Shot by Grossmann, saved by Ward
  73. P3 19:46Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bryzgalov
  74. P3 19:58Shot by Read, saved by Ward
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. OT 0:00Period start
  77. OT 0:31Shot by Giroux, saved by Ward4v4
  78. OT 0:34Shot by Gervais, saved by Ward4v4
  79. OT 1:18Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  80. OT 1:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  81. OT 1:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  82. OT 1:47Goal by Brière (Grossmann, Schenn)4v4+46 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Foster, Schenn · CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Dwyer, Sanguinetti

  83. OT 1:47Period end
  84. OT 1:47Final