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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 9, 2013·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Nashville Predators 1, Minnesota Wild 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 73% of the time.

MIN winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Fisher, saved by Backstrom
  3. P1 1:23Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  4. P1 1:24Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  5. P1 2:16Shot by Smith, saved by Backstrom
  6. P1 3:17Shot by Coyle, saved by Mason
  7. P1 3:49Bourque: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Coyle, Brodin · NSH Gill, Gaustad, Clune, Blum, Bourque

  8. P1 5:27Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Mason5v4
  9. P1 6:00Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  10. P1 7:44Shot by Fisher, saved by Backstrom
  11. P1 10:11Shot by Smith, saved by Backstrom
  12. P1 10:11Goal by Gaustad (Smith)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Suter, Setoguchi, Granlund, Brodin · NSH Gaustad, Kostitsyn, Blum, Ellis, Smith

  13. P1 10:28Shot by Brodziak, saved by Mason
  14. P1 10:29Erat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Cullen, Gilbert, Brodziak, Stoner, Clutterbuck · NSH Fisher, Erat, Klein, Kostitsyn, Josi

  15. P1 11:03Shot by Parise, saved by Mason5v4
  16. P1 11:04Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason5v4
  17. P1 12:44Backstrom: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Setoguchi, Falk, Prosser, Granlund · NSH Hannan, Legwand, Erat, Weber, Bourque

  18. P1 12:44Erat: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Setoguchi, Falk, Prosser, Granlund · NSH Hannan, Legwand, Erat, Weber, Bourque

  19. P1 14:39Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason4v4
  20. P1 15:11Granlund: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Suter, Setoguchi, Granlund, Brodin · NSH Fisher, Erat, Klein, Weber, Kostitsyn

  21. P1 16:09Shot by Weber, saved by Backstrom4v5
  22. P1 18:21Konopka: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Rupp, Konopka, Gilbert, Bouchard, Stoner · NSH Gaustad, Yip, Spaling, Blum, Josi

  23. P1 18:21Yip: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Rupp, Konopka, Gilbert, Bouchard, Stoner · NSH Gaustad, Yip, Spaling, Blum, Josi

  24. P1 19:15Shot by Heatley, saved by Mason4v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:34Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Mason
  28. P2 3:51Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Backstrom
  29. P2 4:17Shot by Ellis, saved by Backstrom
  30. P2 5:08Shot by Granlund, saved by Mason
  31. P2 6:27Shot by Rupp, saved by Mason
  32. P2 6:40Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  33. P2 7:40Coyle: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Cullen, Koivu, Falk, Prosser, Coyle · NSH Fisher, Erat, Klein, Kostitsyn, Josi

  34. P2 8:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Backstrom4v5
  35. P2 9:37Shot by Blum, saved by Backstrom4v5
  36. P2 9:55Shot by Hannan, saved by Backstrom
  37. P2 11:34Shot by Fisher, saved by Backstrom
  38. P2 12:23Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  39. P2 12:59Goal by Clutterbuck (Suter, Cullen)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Cullen, Suter, Brodziak, Clutterbuck, Prosser · NSH Gill, Erat, Spaling, Josi, Smith

  40. P2 14:29Suter: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Cullen, Suter, Brodziak, Clutterbuck, Brodin · NSH Fisher, Erat, Klein, Kostitsyn, Josi

  41. P2 14:54Shot by Ellis, saved by Backstrom4v5
  42. P2 17:55Shot by Granlund, saved by Mason
  43. P2 17:59Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Mason
  44. P2 18:53Wilson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Gilbert, Parise, Stoner, Setoguchi, Granlund · NSH Hannan, Legwand, Klein, Kostitsyn, Wilson

  45. P2 19:01Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason5v4
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:21Shot by Stoner, saved by Mason
  49. P3 1:55Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  50. P3 3:14Shot by Konopka, saved by Mason
  51. P3 4:29Shot by Suter, saved by Mason
  52. P3 5:53Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Mason
  53. P3 6:18Setoguchi: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Suter, Setoguchi, Granlund, Brodin · NSH Hannan, Fisher, Erat, Gaustad, Weber

  54. P3 6:43Shot by Weber, saved by Backstrom4v5
  55. P3 7:44Shot by Erat, saved by Backstrom4v5
  56. P3 8:29Shot by Smith, saved by Backstrom4v5
  57. P3 9:12Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Backstrom4v5
  58. P3 9:22Shot by Josi, saved by Backstrom4v5
  59. P3 9:35Shot by Weber, saved by Backstrom4v5
  60. P3 10:06Shot by Josi, saved by Backstrom4v5
  61. P3 10:37Shot by Spaling, saved by Backstrom
  62. P3 11:02Shot by Brodin, saved by Mason
  63. P3 11:08Shot by Granlund, saved by Mason
  64. P3 11:58Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  65. P3 12:27Gilbert: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Gilbert, Parise, Stoner, Coyle · NSH Legwand, Klein, Kostitsyn, Wilson, Josi

  66. P3 13:17Shot by Josi, saved by Backstrom4v5
  67. P3 15:00Shot by Ellis, saved by Backstrom
  68. P3 13:16Shot by Blum, saved by Backstrom4v5
  69. P3 19:29Shot by Gaustad, saved by Backstrom
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:24Shot by Heatley, saved by Mason4v4
  73. OT 2:34Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Backstrom4v4
  74. OT 2:48Gaustad: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Suter, Setoguchi, Granlund, Brodin · NSH Fisher, Kostitsyn, Blum, Ellis

  75. OT 3:23Shot by Parise, saved by Mason4v3
  76. OT 3:24Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason4v3
  77. OT 3:37Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Mason4v3
  78. OT 4:21Goal by Setoguchi (Koivu, Suter)4v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Setoguchi · NSH Klein, Weber, Spaling

  79. OT 4:21Period end
  80. OT 4:21Final