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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 11, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Schenn, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 0:38Goal by Simmonds (Schenn, Timonen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Komarov, Holzer, Kulemin · PHI Timonen, Brière, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn

  4. P1 0:54Shot by Coburn, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 2:34Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bryzgalov
  6. P1 4:01Shot by Kulemin, saved by Bryzgalov
  7. P1 4:44Shot by Simmonds, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Read, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:25Shot by Grossmann, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 7:34Shot by Foster, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 8:58Shot by Orr, saved by Bryzgalov
  12. P1 11:15Rinaldo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabovski, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin, McLaren · PHI Fedotenko, Coburn, Gervais, Sestito, Rinaldo

  13. P1 11:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  14. P1 14:09Shot by Simmonds, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 14:38Shot by Simmonds, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 14:49Goal by Phaneuf (Komarov, Kulemin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Fraser, Komarov, Kulemin · PHI Timonen, Brière, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn

  17. P1 15:20Knuble: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Frattin, Kadri · PHI Knuble, Talbot, Coburn, Gervais, McGinn

  18. P1 16:15Shot by Read, saved by Reimer5v4
  19. P1 16:44Giroux: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · PHI Timonen, Giroux, Schenn, Read

  20. P1 16:54Shot by Bozak, saved by Bryzgalov5v3
  21. P1 18:05Shot by Franson, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  22. P1 19:17Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bryzgalov
  23. P1 19:31Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:33Shot by Holzer, saved by Bryzgalov
  27. P2 1:34Shot by McClement, saved by Bryzgalov
  28. P2 2:05Goal by Orr (McLaren, Franson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · PHI Fedotenko, Foster, Grossmann, Sestito, Voracek

  29. P2 2:33Goal by Frattin (Kadri, Franson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Frattin, Kadri · PHI Knuble, Talbot, Coburn, Gervais, McGinn

  30. P2 3:18Shot by Timonen, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 3:51Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 4:33Shot by Simmonds, saved by Scrivens
  33. P2 4:54Shot by Komarov, saved by Bryzgalov
  34. P2 5:28Shot by McGinn, saved by Scrivens
  35. P2 6:15Goal by MacArthur (Kadri, Frattin)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Fraser, Frattin, Kostka, Kadri · PHI Knuble, Foster, Talbot, Grossmann, McGinn

  36. P2 6:32Shot by Read, saved by Scrivens
  37. P2 6:48Shot by Grabovski, saved by Boucher
  38. P2 7:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Boucher
  39. P2 7:27Shot by Kulemin, saved by Boucher
  40. P2 7:41Shot by Brière, saved by Scrivens
  41. P2 7:48Shot by Gervais, saved by Scrivens
  42. P2 8:23Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Scrivens
  43. P2 9:08Shot by Franson, saved by Boucher
  44. P2 9:26Shot by Knuble, saved by Scrivens
  45. P2 10:08Shot by Timonen, saved by Scrivens
  46. P2 10:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Scrivens
  47. P2 11:23Grabovski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Komarov, Holzer, Frattin · PHI Foster, Grossmann, Voracek, Schenn, Read

  48. P2 12:11Shot by Voracek, saved by Scrivens4v5
  49. P2 12:40Shot by Brière, saved by Scrivens4v5
  50. P2 13:31Holzer: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Holzer, Bozak · PHI Knuble, Coburn, Schenn, Schenn, McGinn

  51. P2 13:31Holzer: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Holzer, Bozak · PHI Knuble, Coburn, Schenn, Schenn, McGinn

  52. P2 13:36Shot by Timonen, saved by Scrivens4v5
  53. P2 14:48Shot by Schenn, saved by Scrivens4v5
  54. P2 15:58Shot by Voracek, saved by Scrivens4v5
  55. P2 18:00Shot by Giroux, saved by Scrivens4v5
  56. P2 18:08Shot by Voracek, saved by Scrivens4v5
  57. P2 18:30Shot by Brière, saved by Scrivens4v5
  58. P2 19:28Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Scrivens
  59. P2 19:36Shot by Knuble, saved by Scrivens
  60. P2 19:41Shot by Coburn, saved by Scrivens
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:50Shot by Kulemin, saved by Boucher
  64. P3 1:11Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kessel, Bozak)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · PHI Timonen, Voracek, Schenn, Schenn, Read

  65. P3 1:41Shot by Knuble, saved by Scrivens
  66. P3 5:28Knuble: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Frattin, Kadri · PHI Knuble, Timonen, Talbot, Schenn, McGinn

  67. P3 5:47Shot by Frattin, saved by Boucher5v4
  68. P3 6:17Shot by Talbot, saved by Scrivens5v4
  69. P3 6:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Boucher5v4
  70. P3 6:59Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Boucher5v4
  71. P3 8:13Shot by Schenn, saved by Scrivens
  72. P3 9:55Shot by McGinn, saved by Scrivens
  73. P3 10:06Shot by Talbot, saved by Scrivens
  74. P3 12:10Rinaldo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, McLaren, Kostka · PHI Fedotenko, Foster, Grossmann, Sestito, Rinaldo

  75. P3 12:46Orr: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, McLaren, Kostka · PHI Fedotenko, Talbot, Coburn, Schenn

  76. P3 8:14Shot by Read, saved by Scrivens
  77. P3 15:47Shot by Gervais, saved by Scrivens
  78. P3 15:52Shot by Gervais, saved by Scrivens
  79. P3 16:46Shot by Coburn, saved by Scrivens
  80. P3 17:33Shot by Sestito, saved by Scrivens
  81. P3 17:53Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Franson, Komarov, Kulemin · PHI Fedotenko, Gervais, Sestito, Schenn, Rinaldo

  82. P3 17:53Rinaldo: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Franson, Komarov, Kulemin · PHI Fedotenko, Gervais, Sestito, Schenn, Rinaldo

  83. P3 17:53Rinaldo: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Franson, Komarov, Kulemin · PHI Fedotenko, Gervais, Sestito, Schenn, Rinaldo

  84. P3 17:53Phaneuf: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Franson, Komarov, Kulemin · PHI Fedotenko, Gervais, Sestito, Schenn, Rinaldo

  85. P3 19:15Shot by Frattin, saved by Boucher
  86. P3 19:28Goal by McGinn (Foster, Fedotenko)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, Franson, Fraser, McLaren · PHI Fedotenko, Foster, Talbot, Grossmann, McGinn

  87. P3 19:26Shot by Foster, saved by Scrivens
  88. P3 19:39Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Scrivens
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final