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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 21, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

New York Rangers 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Stralman, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:37Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:57Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 5:07Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 5:10Shot by Bickel, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 5:32Gryba: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Gryba, Smith, Dziurzynski · NYR Richards, Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Kreider

  9. P1 5:37Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson4v5
  10. P1 6:48Goal by Silfverberg (Alfredsson)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Silfverberg · NYR Pyatt, Girardi, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Miller

  11. P1 6:58Shot by Methot, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  12. P1 7:23Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson4v5
  13. P1 7:37Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 7:49Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 9:18Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 11:39Methot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Gryba, Smith, Dziurzynski · NYR Richards, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Kreider

  17. P1 13:21Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson4v5
  18. P1 13:36Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson4v5
  19. P1 14:25Shot by Stralman, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 14:44Stepan: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Benoit, Turris, Silfverberg · NYR Gaborik, Staal, Girardi, Hagelin, Stepan

  21. P1 14:50Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  22. P1 16:13Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  23. P1 16:21Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  24. P1 18:10Shot by Dziurzynski, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 18:38Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 19:37Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:21Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 5:00Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 5:07Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 7:12Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 8:45Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 8:47Shot by Benoit, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 9:05Shot by Grant, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 9:40Shot by Pyatt, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 11:19Shot by Dziurzynski, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 11:23Shot by Neil, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 12:03Shot by Pyatt, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 12:59Shot by Mashinter, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 13:07Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 14:51Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 15:07Shot by Gaborik, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 18:59Shot by Bickel, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 19:53Shot by Hagelin, saved by Anderson5v6
  46. P2 19:54Neil: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Gryba, Smith, Dziurzynski · NYR Richards, Gaborik, Callahan, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Gilroy

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:25Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson4v5
  50. P3 2:10Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P3 2:53Shot by Callahan, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 5:58Shot by Gilroy, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 6:15Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 6:25Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 6:57Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 7:50Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 8:14Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 9:47Shot by Pyatt, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 9:48Shot by Pyatt, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 9:49Gonchar: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Methot, Turris, Silfverberg · NYR Halpern, Pyatt, Callahan, Staal, Girardi

  61. P3 10:02Shot by Grant, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  62. P3 10:44Goal by Callahan (Staal, Stepan)4v5+36 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Methot, Daugavins, Grant · NYR Richards, Gaborik, Callahan, Staal, Stepan

  63. P3 11:26Shot by Pyatt, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 11:35Goal by McDonagh (Miller, Halpern)+31 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Greening, Gryba, Condra, Turris · NYR Halpern, Pyatt, Stralman, McDonagh, Miller

  65. P3 12:10Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 12:20Shot by Da Costa, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 13:17Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 13:18Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 13:19Boyle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Zibanejad · NYR Richards, Boyle, Staal, Girardi, Kreider

  70. P3 13:30Goal by Zibanejad (Greening, Wiercioch)5v4+34 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch, Zibanejad · NYR Staal, Girardi, Hagelin, Stepan

  71. P3 16:42Shot by Gaborik, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 16:50Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 17:54Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 18:19Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 18:41Shot by Greening, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 18:53Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 1:04Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop4v4
  80. OT 1:29Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  81. OT 2:36Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  82. OT 2:50Shot by Gaborik, saved by Bishop4v4
  83. OT 4:14Shot by Gryba, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  84. OT 4:53Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop4v4
  85. OT 5:00Period end
  86. SO Period start
  87. SO Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lundqvistother
  88. SO Shot by Gaborik, saved by Bishopother
  89. SO Goal by Silfverberg, unassistedother
  90. SO Goal by Callahan, unassistedother
  91. SO Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvistother
  92. SO Shot by Stepan, saved by Bishopother
  93. SO Shot by Richards, saved by Bishopother
  94. SO Goal by Daugavins, unassistedother
  95. SO Period end
  96. SO Final