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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 25, 2013·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 4, Nashville Predators 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 56% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:32Shot by Nystrom, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 3:57Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp
  4. P1 6:16Shot by Nystrom, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 7:14Shot by Josi, saved by Nilstorp
  6. P1 8:32Shot by Smith, saved by Nilstorp
  7. P1 8:45Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 9:10Shot by Jagr, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 13:43Goal by Smith (Clune, Kostitsyn)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hannan, Clune, Kostitsyn, Ellis, Smith · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Nystrom, Dillon, Garbutt

  10. P1 13:51Shot by Legwand, saved by Nilstorp
  11. P1 13:59Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 14:21Shot by Josi, saved by Nilstorp
  13. P1 15:29Eriksson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hannan, Clune, Kostitsyn, Ellis, Smith · DAL Roy, Eriksson, Goligoski, Fraser, Oleksiak

  14. P1 16:42Shot by Smith, saved by Nilstorp5v4
  15. P1 18:33Shot by Daley, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 19:45Shot by Clune, saved by Nilstorp
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:20Goal by Fraser (Eriksson, Benn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Hornqvist, Blum, Bourque · DAL Roy, Daley, Eriksson, Benn, Fraser

  20. P2 1:39Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  21. P2 1:45Goal by Smith (Ryder, Eakin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hannan, Clune, Kostitsyn, Ellis, Smith · DAL Ryder, Goligoski, Smith, Eakin, Oleksiak

  22. P2 3:05Goal by Josi (Legwand, Hornqvist)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi, Bourque · DAL Jagr, Morrow, Daley, Benn, Benn

  23. P2 4:10Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  24. P2 5:31Shot by Morrow, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 5:41Erat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Wilson, Josi · DAL Jagr, Robidas, Morrow, Benn, Dillon

  26. P2 7:29Goal by Fiddler (Benn, Ryder)4v6+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Yip, Josi · DAL Jagr, Ryder, Fiddler, Nystrom, Goligoski, Benn

  27. P2 7:29Fisher: High sticking double minor (4 min)4v6

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Yip, Josi · DAL Jagr, Ryder, Fiddler, Nystrom, Goligoski, Benn

  28. P2 9:21Goal by Eriksson (Ryder, Robidas)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Kostitsyn, Halischuk, Josi · DAL Jagr, Robidas, Ryder, Eriksson, Benn

  29. P2 10:03Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne4v5
  30. P2 10:12Shot by Eriksson, saved by Rinne4v5
  31. P2 10:46Shot by Jagr, saved by Rinne4v5
  32. P2 11:03Shot by Legwand, saved by Nilstorp4v5
  33. P2 11:44Shot by Eakin, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 11:45Yip: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Yip, Kostitsyn, Blum · DAL Robidas, Daley, Nystrom, Eakin, Fraser

  35. P2 11:45Nystrom: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Yip, Kostitsyn, Blum · DAL Robidas, Daley, Nystrom, Eakin, Fraser

  36. P2 11:45Nystrom: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Yip, Kostitsyn, Blum · DAL Robidas, Daley, Nystrom, Eakin, Fraser

  37. P2 11:58Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Nilstorp5v4
  38. P2 12:15Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp5v4
  39. P2 12:24Fiddler: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Dillon, Garbutt

  40. P2 12:24Fisher: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Dillon, Garbutt

  41. P2 12:24Fiddler: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Dillon, Garbutt

  42. P2 12:41Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp5v3
  43. P2 12:55Shot by Josi, saved by Nilstorp5v3
  44. P2 13:30Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Nilstorp5v3
  45. P2 13:43Goal by Hornqvist (Erat, Josi)5v3+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Erat, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi, Smith · DAL Robidas, Eakin, Dillon

  46. P2 14:08Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp5v4
  47. P2 15:05Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 15:22Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 18:07Shot by Halischuk, saved by Nilstorp
  50. P2 19:14Fraser: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hornqvist, Blum · DAL Robidas, Ryder, Roy, Goligoski, Garbutt

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:20Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp5v4
  54. P3 0:56Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp5v4
  55. P3 1:20Shot by Bourque, saved by Nilstorp
  56. P3 3:22Hornqvist: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hannan, Legwand, Hornqvist, Ellis, Bourque · DAL Daley, Nystrom, Benn, Eakin, Garbutt

  57. P3 5:48Shot by Garbutt, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 6:42Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 8:22Goal by Fisher (Wilson, Josi)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Wilson, Josi · DAL Jagr, Morrow, Goligoski, Benn, Oleksiak

  60. P3 9:09Shot by Hannan, saved by Nilstorp
  61. P3 10:37Shot by Weber, saved by Nilstorp
  62. P3 10:56Shot by Josi, saved by Nilstorp
  63. P3 12:03Shot by Hannan, saved by Nilstorp
  64. P3 12:05Shot by Bourque, saved by Nilstorp
  65. P3 12:16Shot by Hannan, saved by Nilstorp
  66. P3 12:48Shot by Smith, saved by Nilstorp
  67. P3 12:57Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 15:53Shot by Ryder, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 17:02Shot by Garbutt, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 18:00Shot by Fisher, saved by Nilstorp
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:28Goal by Josi (Kostitsyn, Weber)4v4+46 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Kostitsyn, Josi · DAL Daley, Eriksson, Goligoski, Benn

  74. OT 0:28Period end
  75. OT 0:28Final