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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 28, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.

CAR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 0:45Letang: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen, Neal, Letang

  4. P1 1:16LaRose: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Semin, Brent, Staal, Tlusty · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Sutter

  5. P1 2:28Shot by Bennett, saved by Ward4v4
  6. P1 2:38Shot by Jokinen, saved by Fleury4v4
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Cooke, saved by Ward
  8. P1 4:36Shot by Cooke, saved by Ward
  9. P1 4:47Shot by Bowman, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 4:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 5:02Shot by LaRose, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 5:30Shot by Bennett, saved by Ward
  13. P1 6:30Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 7:31Shot by Adams, saved by Ward
  15. P1 7:32Harrison: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Jokinen, Semin, Nash · PIT Adams, Orpik, Engelland, Glass, Vitale

  16. P1 11:14Shot by Bowman, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 11:49Shot by Kennedy, saved by Ward
  18. P1 12:18Shot by Orpik, saved by Ward
  19. P1 12:57Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 13:03Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 13:14Goal by Kunitz (Crosby, Niskanen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen, Neal, Bortuzzo

  22. P1 14:33Shot by Dwyer, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 14:49Glass: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Dwyer, Nash · PIT Adams, Engelland, Glass, Letang, Vitale

  24. P1 15:08Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury5v4
  25. P1 15:10Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury5v4
  26. P1 19:35Goal by Staal (Semin, Tlusty)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty · PIT Adams, Cooke, Engelland, Crosby, Letang

  27. P1 19:51Shot by Adams, saved by Ward
  28. P1 0:00Harrison: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Adams, Cooke, Orpik, Martin, Sutter

  29. P1 0:00Harrison: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Adams, Cooke, Orpik, Martin, Sutter

  30. P1 0:00Adams: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Adams, Cooke, Orpik, Martin, Sutter

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:35Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Fleury4v5
  34. P2 2:37Shot by Bennett, saved by Ward
  35. P2 4:00Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 4:03Goal by Tlusty (Staal, Gleason)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Martin, Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen, Neal

  37. P2 4:51Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 4:53Shot by Bowman, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 5:49Goal by Skinner (Dwyer, Corvo)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Skinner · PIT Adams, Martin, Glass, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  40. P2 7:42Shot by Cooke, saved by Ward
  41. P2 8:42Shot by Neal, saved by Ward
  42. P2 9:31Engelland: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Skinner · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Engelland, Kunitz, Crosby

  43. P2 9:31Skinner: Diving (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Skinner · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Engelland, Kunitz, Crosby

  44. P2 9:37Shot by LaRose, saved by Fleury4v4
  45. P2 12:16Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 12:45Shot by Niskanen, saved by Ward
  47. P2 13:52Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Ward
  48. P2 14:05Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Jokinen, Dwyer, Staal, McBain · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Martin, Kennedy, Jeffrey

  49. P2 15:09Shot by Kunitz, saved by Ward4v5
  50. P2 15:10Shot by Kunitz, saved by Ward4v5
  51. P2 15:12Shot by Neal, saved by Ward4v5
  52. P2 15:35Shot by Martin, saved by Ward4v5
  53. P2 16:20Bennett: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Brent, Staal, Tlusty, Sanguinetti · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kennedy, Letang, Sutter, Bennett

  54. P2 16:55Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury5v4
  55. P2 17:02Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury5v4
  56. P2 19:49Goal by Tlusty (Semin, Staal)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · PIT Dupuis, Martin, Crosby, Neal, Bortuzzo

  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P2 19:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:30Shot by Letang, saved by Ward
  61. P3 2:35Shot by Glass, saved by Ward
  62. P3 2:37Vitale: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Brent, McBain, Sanguinetti, Wallace, Bowman · PIT Adams, Engelland, Glass, Letang, Vitale

  63. P3 2:39Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury5v4
  64. P3 4:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury5v4
  65. P3 6:50Skinner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Skinner · PIT Adams, Orpik, Engelland, Glass, Vitale

  66. P3 9:15Bortuzzo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Skinner · PIT Cooke, Dupuis, Letang, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  67. P3 10:36Shot by Faulk, saved by Fleury5v4
  68. P3 14:34Shot by Niskanen, saved by Ward
  69. P3 15:52Shot by Crosby, saved by Ward
  70. P3 16:23Shot by Sutter, saved by Ward
  71. P3 17:29Shot by Skinner, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 18:06Shot by Neal, saved by Ward
  73. P3 18:20Bortuzzo: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Nash, Bowman, Faulk · PIT Orpik, Kunitz, Crosby, Neal, Bortuzzo

  74. P3 18:20Harrison: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Nash, Bowman, Faulk · PIT Orpik, Kunitz, Crosby, Neal, Bortuzzo

  75. P3 18:33Shot by Kennedy, saved by Ward
  76. P3 18:39Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Ward5v6
  77. P3 19:54Shot by Niskanen, saved by Ward5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final