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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 28, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Calgary Flames 4, Colorado Avalanche 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 79% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Iginla: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Zanon, Parenteau, O'Brien, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Giordano

  3. P1 1:47Shot by Stajan, saved by Varlamov5v4
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Jones, saved by MacDonald5v4
  5. P1 3:01Shot by Jones, saved by MacDonald5v4
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Parenteau, saved by MacDonald
  7. P1 4:10Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 4:18Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  9. P1 4:28Goal by Bouwmeester (Baertschi, Hudler)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, McGinn, Duchene, Barrie · CGY Begin, Bouwmeester, Giordano, Comeau, Baertschi

  10. P1 5:01Goal by Cammalleri (Stempniak, Begin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, Mitchell, O'Brien, Jones, Bordeleau · CGY Begin, Cammalleri, Wideman, Stempniak, Brodie

  11. P1 6:15Shot by Hejda, saved by MacDonald
  12. P1 8:34Shot by Wideman, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 8:39Shot by Begin, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 9:05Shot by Stastny, saved by MacDonald
  15. P1 10:50Shot by Butler, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 11:03Shot by Baertschi, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 13:43Hejda: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Hejda, Mitchell, Jones, McLeod, Barrie · CGY Cammalleri, Hudler, Butler, Smith, Baertschi, Cervenka

  18. P1 13:49Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov4v5
  19. P1 15:43Shot by Kobasew, saved by MacDonald
  20. P1 16:37Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 16:48Shot by Duchene, saved by MacDonald
  22. P1 19:06Goal by Iginla (Stajan, Hudler)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Mitchell, Jones, McLeod, Barrie · CGY Iginla, Wideman, Stajan, Hudler, Butler

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:21Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald
  26. P2 0:23Giordano: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Landeskog · CGY Cammalleri, Bouwmeester, Stempniak, Giordano, Glencross

  27. P2 1:26Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald5v4
  28. P2 2:38Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 3:04Shot by Kobasew, saved by MacDonald
  30. P2 3:36Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 3:58Shot by O'Brien, saved by MacDonald
  32. P2 4:04Shot by Barrie, saved by MacDonald
  33. P2 4:39Shot by Cervenka, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 4:52Shot by Jones, saved by MacDonald
  35. P2 5:11Goal by O'Byrne (Duchene, Parenteau)+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, O'Brien, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Cammalleri, Bouwmeester, Stempniak, Giordano, Glencross

  36. P2 5:30O'Byrne: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, Jones, Hunwick, Stastny, Landeskog · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Wideman, Stajan, Brodie

  37. P2 6:16Shot by Hudler, saved by Varlamov4v5
  38. P2 6:56Shot by McLeod, saved by MacDonald4v5
  39. P2 7:48Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  40. P2 8:55Shot by Mitchell, saved by MacDonald
  41. P2 9:08Shot by Stempniak, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 9:54Goal by Jones (Landeskog, Stastny)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, Hejda, Jones, Stastny, Landeskog · CGY Wideman, Hudler, Butler, Baertschi, Cervenka

  43. P2 9:53Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald
  44. P2 10:40Shot by Parenteau, saved by MacDonald
  45. P2 12:38Bordeleau: Charging (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Hejduk, Zanon, O'Byrne, Bordeleau, McLeod · CGY Hudler, Comeau, Butler, Smith, Aliu, Baertschi

  46. P2 13:16Goal by Iginla (Hudler, Tanguay)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Zanon, O'Byrne, Jones, Landeskog · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Hudler, Brodie, Cervenka

  47. P2 15:11Shot by Iginla, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 18:02Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Jones, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog · CGY Cammalleri, Stempniak, Glencross, Smith, Brodie

  49. P2 19:00Shot by Stastny, saved by MacDonald5v4
  50. P2 19:01Shot by Stastny, saved by MacDonald5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:07Shot by Barrie, saved by MacDonald
  54. P3 0:23Goal by Landeskog (Hejda)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Jones, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog · CGY Cammalleri, Wideman, Stempniak, Glencross, Brodie

  55. P3 0:39Shot by Parenteau, saved by MacDonald
  56. P3 2:45Bouwmeester: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, Hunwick, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Giordano

  57. P3 2:53Shot by O'Brien, saved by MacDonald5v4
  58. P3 3:00Shot by Parenteau, saved by MacDonald5v4
  59. P3 5:09Shot by Hunwick, saved by MacDonald
  60. P3 5:14Shot by Cervenka, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 6:33Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald
  62. P3 6:34Goal by Stastny (Landeskog, Jones)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Jones, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog · CGY Cammalleri, Wideman, Stempniak, Glencross, Brodie

  63. P3 10:52Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  64. P3 10:52Goal by Duchene (McGinn, Parenteau)+35 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, O'Byrne, Hunwick, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Giordano

  65. P3 12:48Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 12:48O'Brien: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Zanon, O'Brien, Jones, Stastny, Landeskog · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Giordano

  67. P3 14:27Shot by Landeskog, saved by MacDonald4v5
  68. P3 15:10Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 15:16O'Brien: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL O'Byrne, O'Brien, Jones, Hunwick, Stastny · CGY Iginla, Bouwmeester, Hudler, Giordano, Cervenka

  70. P3 17:34Shot by Hudler, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 18:04Shot by McGinn, saved by MacDonald
  72. P3 18:11Shot by Stastny, saved by MacDonald
  73. P3 19:05Shot by Stajan, saved by Varlamov5v6
  74. P3 19:42Cervenka: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Zanon, Hunwick, Stastny, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Cammalleri, Wideman, Stempniak, Giordano, Glencross, Cervenka

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final