Thu, Feb 28, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver
Calgary Flames 4, Colorado Avalanche 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 79% of the time.
72%
15%
COL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:49 | 0.08 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:08 | 0.24 | 39.8% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.08 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.08 | 36.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:52 | 0.08 | 12.7% | +18.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:38 | 0.40 | 33.2% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.12 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.20 | 22.0% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.39 | 42.1% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.25 | 35.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.01 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.10 | 34.8% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.06 | 87.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.02 | 91.1% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:34 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 3.98 | −1.0 | 58:31 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.08 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.01 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.38 | 68.3% | +44.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 19:58 | 1.00 | 85.7% | +43.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:54 | 0.29 | 76.9% | +35.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.02 | 80.3% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.33 | 71.3% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.02 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.03 | 54.8% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 18:39 | 0.58 | 81.1% | +61.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.78 | 65.5% | +43.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.17 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.05 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.21 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:02 | 0.03 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:47 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 60:00 |