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Ice Lab

Centre · #7

John Mitchell

Toronto Maple Leafs New York Rangers Colorado Avalanche(traded during the season)
Age
41
Shoots
Left
Height
185 cm
Weight
93 kg
Born
Oakville, CAN
Draft
2003, round 5, #158 (TOR)

Career · 2009–10 to 2016–17

Games
472
Goals
58
Points
148
TOI per game
14:32
xGF% (5v5)
45.6%
Goals above expected
−6.3
ShowAll teamsToronto Maple LeafsNew York RangersColorado Avalanche

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10TOR6061723−715:49906.7%37.4–
2010–11TOR23213−712:31287.1%12.443.0%
2011–12NYR6351116+1010:10647.8%210.559.2%
2012–13COL47101020+516:457213.9%36.246.3%
2013–14COL75112132+1316:1610710.3%311.241.7%
2014–15COL68111526−915:5110510.5%410.444.2%
2015–16COL71101121−715:151019.9%111.042.5%
2016–17COL65347−1212:33575.3%05.243.1%
Total3 teams4725890148−1414:326249.3%1764.345.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.81100200300400
10m15m20m100200300400Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2009–10 to 2016–17 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

26th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.5133rd pct
  • Assists /600.7941st pct
  • ixG /600.5628th pct
  • Goals above expected−6.320th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)45.6%20th pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.5%25th pct
  • Relative xGF%−1.146th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.0832nd pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game14:3259th pct
  • PP time share15.7%49th pct
  • Offensive zone starts45.4%23rd pct
  • Quality of competition23.9%47th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Jerred SmithsonNSH/EDM0.95
  2. Jay McClementSTL/COL/TOR/CAR0.94
  3. Johan LarssonBUF0.93
  4. Gregory CampbellFLA/BOS/CBJ0.92
  5. Todd MarchantANA0.92
  6. Joonas KemppainenBOS0.91

Faceoffs

How often Mitchell wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2016–17, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1539+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

51.1%

2061–1976 · #69 of 191 regulars, 64th percentile

Against an average centre

51.1%

Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.

Wins above average

+42

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

8.9

4,037 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

49%667 · +0.456%647 · +1.649%536 · +0.758%172 · +1.250%148 · −0.256%153 · +2.247%152 · +0.354%916 · +1.844%646 · +1.5Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone52.8% 624–558
  • Neutral zone50.7% 655–637
  • Defensive zone50.0% 782–781

By strength

  • Even strength51.5% 1722–1619
  • Power play56.1% 133–104
  • Shorthanded44.8% 202–249

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +5 after a win, −19 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.2 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–1047551.2%50.7%
2010–1114955.7%56.0%
2011–1219951.8%52.7%
2012–1334449.7%50.1%
2013–1474850.0%50.2%
2014–1573550.9%51.1%
2015–1684948.9%48.7%
2016–1753855.4%54.7%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−6.3 goals above expected

0204060100200300400Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100