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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 6, 2013·United Center, Chicago

Colorado Avalanche 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.

CHI winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:53Shot by Rozsival, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 4:08Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 4:45Shot by Seabrook, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 4:55Shot by McGinn, saved by Emery
  6. P1 5:06Shot by Hunwick, saved by Emery
  7. P1 6:17Shot by Barrie, saved by Emery
  8. P1 7:38Shot by O'Byrne, saved by Emery
  9. P1 8:43McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Keith, Seabrook, Bickell, Stalberg, Shaw · COL Zanon, Kobasew, O'Brien, Bordeleau, McLeod

  10. P1 9:17Shot by Shaw, saved by Varlamov5v4
  11. P1 9:20Shot by Saad, saved by Varlamov5v4
  12. P1 9:29Shot by Seabrook, saved by Varlamov5v4
  13. P1 9:51Goal by Shaw (Seabrook, Saad)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Keith, Seabrook, Toews, Shaw, Saad · COL O'Byrne, Hunwick, McGinn, Landeskog

  14. P1 11:27Shot by Duchene, saved by Emery
  15. P1 11:49Shot by Jones, saved by Emery
  16. P1 12:54Shot by Hjalmarsson, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 13:57Shot by Brookbank, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:31Shot by Sharp, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 15:57Shot by Stalberg, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 18:20Goal by Mitchell (Kobasew, O'Reilly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Mayers, Sharp, Oduya, Hjalmarsson, Kruger · COL Kobasew, O'Byrne, Mitchell, Hunwick, O'Reilly

  21. P1 18:37Shot by Kobasew, saved by Emery
  22. P1 18:49Shot by Stalberg, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:31Shot by Kane, saved by Varlamov
  26. P2 1:42Shot by Kane, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 4:02Shot by Carcillo, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 4:02Kobasew: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Oduya, Carcillo, Hjalmarsson, Toews, Saad · COL Kobasew, Hejda, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog

  29. P2 5:05Shot by Sharp, saved by Varlamov5v4
  30. P2 6:09Shot by Kobasew, saved by Emery
  31. P2 8:12Shot by Sharp, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 8:21Shot by Stalberg, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 9:46Mitchell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Keith, Seabrook, Carcillo, Toews, Saad · COL Zanon, Mitchell, O'Brien, Palushaj, O'Reilly

  34. P2 10:13Shot by Landeskog, saved by Emery5v4
  35. P2 13:08Shot by Sharp, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 13:17Goal by Duchene (Parenteau)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Sharp, Keith, Seabrook, Toews, Kane · COL Parenteau, O'Brien, Hunwick, McGinn, Duchene

  37. P2 13:51Shot by Toews, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 14:40Shot by Mitchell, saved by Emery
  39. P2 15:15Shot by O'Brien, saved by Emery
  40. P2 15:15Rozsival: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Rozsival, Bickell, Stalberg, Leddy, Kruger · COL Zanon, Mitchell, O'Brien, Palushaj, O'Reilly

  41. P2 15:49Shot by Landeskog, saved by Emery4v5
  42. P2 17:13Shot by Sharp, saved by Varlamov4v5
  43. P2 19:44Shot by Mitchell, saved by Emery
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:20Shot by Saad, saved by Varlamov
  47. P3 1:25Rozsival: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Rozsival, Keith, Bolland, Bickell, Kane · COL Zanon, Mitchell, O'Brien, Palushaj, Duchene

  48. P3 2:19Goal by Toews (Bolland, Oduya)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Keith, Seabrook, Bolland, Toews · COL Parenteau, McGinn, O'Reilly, Duchene, Landeskog

  49. P3 6:08Shot by Landeskog, saved by Emery
  50. P3 6:07Shot by Landeskog, saved by Emery
  51. P3 7:49Shot by McGinn, saved by Emery
  52. P3 8:13Shot by Leddy, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 10:59Shot by Bickell, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 11:37Shot by McGinn, saved by Emery
  55. P3 13:49Shot by Bolland, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 14:05Shot by Mayers, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 14:13Shot by Duchene, saved by Emery
  58. P3 15:25Shot by Kane, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 15:54Shot by Hejda, saved by Emery
  60. P3 17:11Shot by McGinn, saved by Emery
  61. P3 17:41Shot by Bolland, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 19:09Shot by Stalberg, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 19:09Shot by Stalberg, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 19:10Goal by Carcillo (Stalberg, Kruger)+47 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Oduya, Carcillo, Hjalmarsson, Stalberg, Kruger · COL Zanon, Parenteau, O'Brien, McGinn, Duchene

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final