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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 7, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Montréal Canadiens 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Montréal Canadiens

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.

CAR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Plekanec, saved by Peters
  3. P1 1:06Sutter: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Sutter, McBain, Sanguinetti, Westgarth, Welsh · MTL Markov, Moen, Armstrong, Emelin, White

  4. P1 1:55Shot by Markov, saved by Peters4v5
  5. P1 1:56Shot by Gallagher, saved by Peters4v5
  6. P1 2:47Shot by Staal, saved by Price4v5
  7. P1 3:04Shot by Ryder, saved by Peters4v5
  8. P1 3:13Shot by Gionta, saved by Peters
  9. P1 3:20Shot by Emelin, saved by Peters
  10. P1 3:22Goal by Prust (Emelin, Eller)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Wallace, Bowman · MTL Gorges, Prust, Emelin, Eller, Galchenyuk

  11. P1 4:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Price
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Peters
  13. P1 6:45Jokinen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, McBain, Sanguinetti, Westgarth, Bowman · MTL Bouillon, Prust, Weber, Eller, Galchenyuk

  14. P1 6:48Pacioretty: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  15. P1 7:41Shot by Semin, saved by Price4v4
  16. P1 8:19Goal by Gorges (Prust, Subban)4v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Staal, Skinner · MTL Gorges, Prust, Subban, Eller

  17. P1 8:38Shot by Bouillon, saved by Peters4v4
  18. P1 9:09Shot by Markov, saved by Peters
  19. P1 9:19Shot by Jokinen, saved by Price
  20. P1 9:26Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Peters
  21. P1 9:41Shot by Wallace, saved by Price
  22. P1 11:14Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  23. P1 13:20Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Skinner · MTL Bouillon, Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Weber

  24. P1 13:20Staal: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Skinner · MTL Bouillon, Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Weber

  25. P1 13:28Shot by Semin, saved by Price4v4
  26. P1 13:49Shot by Gionta, saved by Peters4v4
  27. P1 16:47Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  28. P1 16:55Shot by Desharnais, saved by Peters
  29. P1 17:01Shot by Gallagher, saved by Peters
  30. P1 17:48Shot by Jokinen, saved by Price
  31. P1 17:53Shot by Gleason, saved by Price
  32. P1 18:41Shot by Armstrong, saved by Peters
  33. P1 18:50Shot by Harrison, saved by Price
  34. P1 19:01Shot by Semin, saved by Price
  35. P1 19:10Shot by Ryder, saved by Peters
  36. P1 19:13Ryder: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · MTL Gionta, Markov, Ryder, Plekanec, Emelin

  37. P1 0:00Period end
  38. P1 12:34Shot by Faulk, saved by Price
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Price5v4
  41. P2 1:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Price5v4
  42. P2 1:05Shot by Staal, saved by Price5v4
  43. P2 1:33Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  44. P2 1:54Shot by Dwyer, saved by Price
  45. P2 4:52Shot by Semin, saved by Price
  46. P2 5:15Shot by Semin, saved by Price
  47. P2 5:55Shot by Skinner, saved by Price
  48. P2 6:07Goal by Staal (Faulk)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, Faulk, Skinner · MTL Gionta, Ryder, Plekanec, Gorges, Subban

  49. P2 6:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Peters
  50. P2 6:37Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Peters
  51. P2 7:25Shot by McBain, saved by Price
  52. P2 7:30Shot by McBain, saved by Price
  53. P2 7:56Shot by Wallace, saved by Price
  54. P2 8:08Shot by Eller, saved by Peters
  55. P2 8:53Shot by Corvo, saved by Price
  56. P2 10:27Goal by Bowman (Welsh)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McBain, Sanguinetti, Westgarth, Bowman, Welsh · MTL Bouillon, Moen, Armstrong, Weber, Eller

  57. P2 12:10Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  58. P2 12:40Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Price
  59. P2 13:18Skinner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Skinner · MTL Gorges, Prust, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk

  60. P2 14:27Shot by Subban, saved by Peters4v5
  61. P2 14:52Weber: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Sanguinetti · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Weber, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  62. P2 14:52Shot by Staal, saved by Priceother
  63. P2 15:12Shot by Dwyer, saved by Price4v5
  64. P2 16:31Shot by Tlusty, saved by Price
  65. P2 17:21Bouillon: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Sutter, Wallace, Faulk · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  66. P2 17:21Sutter: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Sutter, Wallace, Faulk · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  67. P2 17:21Bouillon: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Sutter, Wallace, Faulk · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  68. P2 17:35Shot by Faulk, saved by Price5v4
  69. P2 18:17Shot by Semin, saved by Price5v4
  70. P2 19:36Shot by Plekanec, saved by Peters
  71. P2 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Period start
  73. P3 0:42Gionta: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Semin, Staal, Tlusty · MTL Moen, Gorges, Prust, Subban, Eller

  74. P3 1:34Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Price5v4
  75. P3 5:35Shot by Gallagher, saved by Peters
  76. P3 6:09Goal by Eller (Gorges, Prust)+27 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Sutter, Wallace, Faulk · MTL Bouillon, Gorges, Prust, Eller, Galchenyuk

  77. P3 6:33Shot by Gleason, saved by Price
  78. P3 6:32Shot by Semin, saved by Price
  79. P3 6:52Semin: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Prust, Emelin, Eller, Galchenyuk

  80. P3 7:11Shot by Dwyer, saved by Price4v5
  81. P3 7:37Shot by Subban, saved by Peters4v5
  82. P3 7:44Shot by Ryder, saved by Peters4v5
  83. P3 7:56Goal by Subban (Markov, Eller)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Staal, Faulk · MTL Markov, Ryder, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk

  84. P3 8:43Shot by Skinner, saved by Price
  85. P3 8:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Price
  86. P3 14:16Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Price
  87. P3 17:18Shot by Tlusty, saved by Price
  88. P3 18:05Shot by Plekanec, saved by Peters
  89. P3 18:26Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Price6v5
  90. P3 19:28Skinner: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Staal, McBain, Faulk, Skinner · MTL Markov, Prust, Emelin, Eller, Galchenyuk

  91. P3 19:35Harrison: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Jokinen, Wallace · MTL Gionta, Moen, Plekanec, Gorges, Subban

  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. P3 0:00Final