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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 21, 2013·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 3, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 59% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Beck, saved by Kiprusoff
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Beck, saved by Kiprusoff
  4. P1 1:17Shot by Clune, saved by Kiprusoff
  5. P1 2:17Shot by Begin, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 3:42Shot by Stajan, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:06Shot by Beck, saved by Kiprusoff
  8. P1 4:12Brodie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Josi, Beck, Bourque · CGY Bouwmeester, Stajan, Stempniak, Glencross, Brodie

  9. P1 5:01Goal by Giordano (Stempniak)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Erat, Weber, Josi, Butler · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Stempniak, Giordano

  10. P1 5:54Shot by Ellis, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  11. P1 8:55Shot by Backlund, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 9:16Begin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Klein, Yip, Clune, Bartley, Spaling · CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler

  13. P1 9:16Clune: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Klein, Yip, Clune, Bartley, Spaling · CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler

  14. P1 11:15Backlund: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Yip, Kostitsyn, Spaling, Blum, Ellis · CGY Sarich, Hudler, Comeau, Butler, Backlund

  15. P1 11:26Shot by Erat, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  16. P1 11:36Goal by Erat (Josi, Butler)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Josi, Butler · CGY Bouwmeester, Stajan, Stempniak, Giordano

  17. P1 13:05Goal by Comeau (Giordano, Bouwmeester)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Josi, Beck, Bourque · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Giordano, Comeau

  18. P1 14:22Shot by Brodie, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 14:30Shot by Brodie, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 15:29Shot by Beck, saved by Kiprusoff
  21. P1 16:27Shot by Yip, saved by Kiprusoff
  22. P1 18:09Goal by Fisher (Erat)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Klein, Kostitsyn, Bartley · CGY Iginla, Sarich, Tanguay, Cammalleri, Butler

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:59McGrattan: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Yip, Clune, Spaling, Blum, Ellis · CGY Sarich, Hudler, Comeau, Butler, Backlund

  26. P2 2:25Shot by Butler, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  27. P2 2:35Shot by Weber, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  28. P2 3:21Shot by Weber, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  29. P2 3:34Shot by Weber, saved by Kiprusoff5v4
  30. P2 4:00Shot by Yip, saved by Kiprusoff
  31. P2 4:28Shot by McGrattan, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 4:45Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 6:05Shot by Josi, saved by Kiprusoff
  34. P2 7:43Shot by Jackman, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:58Shot by Begin, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 8:15Weber: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Mueller, Josi, Bourque · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Stempniak, Giordano, Glencross

  37. P2 8:15Stempniak: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Mueller, Josi, Bourque · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Stempniak, Giordano, Glencross

  38. P2 10:02Shot by Bourque, saved by Kiprusoff4v4
  39. P2 13:24Goal by Fisher (Josi, Erat)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Kostitsyn, Josi · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Cammalleri, Bouwmeester, Brodie

  40. P2 14:24Goal by Spaling (Bartley, Klein)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Klein, Yip, Clune, Bartley, Spaling · CGY Sarich, Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Butler

  41. P2 15:46Shot by Brodie, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 16:40Shot by Clune, saved by Kiprusoff
  43. P2 18:04Shot by Glencross, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 18:27Shot by Stempniak, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 18:56Shot by Giordano, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:48Shot by Stempniak, saved by Rinne
  49. P3 1:53Shot by Erat, saved by Kiprusoff
  50. P3 3:46Josi: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Kostitsyn, Josi · CGY Iginla, Cammalleri, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Hudler, Brodie

  51. P3 8:37Yip: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Klein, Yip, Clune, Spaling, Ellis · CGY Bouwmeester, Stajan, Glencross, Comeau, Brodie

  52. P3 9:46Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Kiprusoff4v5
  53. P3 10:01Shot by Wideman, saved by Rinne4v5
  54. P3 11:47Shot by Glencross, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 11:58Shot by Stempniak, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 14:57Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 15:54Goal by Yip (Klein, Clune)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Klein, Yip, Clune, Bartley, Spaling · CGY Iginla, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Hudler, Brodie

  58. P3 17:08Clune: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Yip, Clune, Spaling, Josi · CGY Begin, McGrattan, Jackman, Wideman, Giordano

  59. P3 19:00Goal by Iginla (Glencross, Tanguay)4v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Erat, Weber, Kostitsyn, Josi · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Wideman, Stajan, Giordano, Glencross

  60. P3 19:48Shot by Wideman, saved by Rinne5v6
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final