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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 26, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Florida Panthers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Florida Panthers

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Hamilton, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Scrivens
  4. P1 2:23McLaren: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Orr, McClement, McLaren, Kostka, Gardiner · FLA Kuba, Smithson, Upshall, Rallo, Kulikov

  5. P1 3:13Shot by Goc, saved by Scrivens4v5
  6. P1 3:33Shot by Campbell, saved by Scrivens4v5
  7. P1 3:46Shot by Bozak, saved by Markstrom4v5
  8. P1 4:24Shot by Matthias, saved by Scrivens
  9. P1 4:31Shot by Mueller, saved by Scrivens
  10. P1 5:46Shot by Upshall, saved by Scrivens
  11. P1 5:49Shot by Smithson, saved by Scrivens
  12. P1 6:39Goal by Fleischmann (Kopecky, Goc)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin · FLA Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Robak, Gudbranson

  13. P1 6:55Shot by Campbell, saved by Scrivens
  14. P1 7:29Shot by Kadri, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 8:19Shot by Mueller, saved by Scrivens
  16. P1 8:58Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 9:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 10:16Shot by Kulikov, saved by Scrivens
  19. P1 11:54Shot by Goc, saved by Scrivens
  20. P1 13:11Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Scrivens
  21. P1 14:18Shot by Shore, saved by Scrivens
  22. P1 15:29Shot by Upshall, saved by Scrivens
  23. P1 15:39Shot by Grabovski, saved by Markstrom
  24. P1 16:01Shot by Grabovski, saved by Markstrom
  25. P1 18:08Shot by Mueller, saved by Scrivens
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Markstrom
  29. P2 1:32Shot by Mueller, saved by Scrivens
  30. P2 1:37Shot by Mueller, saved by Scrivens
  31. P2 2:45Shot by Franson, saved by Markstrom
  32. P2 3:09Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Scrivens
  33. P2 3:25Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Markstrom
  34. P2 3:52Shot by Frattin, saved by Markstrom
  35. P2 5:25Shot by Smithson, saved by Scrivens
  36. P2 5:43Shot by Strachan, saved by Scrivens
  37. P2 6:57Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Scrivens
  38. P2 7:33Shot by Howden, saved by Scrivens
  39. P2 9:41Goal by Phaneuf (Gunnarsson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Grabovski, Hamilton, Gunnarsson, Frattin · FLA Kuba, Fleischmann, Santorelli, Matthias, Kulikov

  40. P2 10:01Shot by Kostka, saved by Markstrom
  41. P2 10:24Shot by Kostka, saved by Markstrom
  42. P2 10:43Shot by Santorelli, saved by Scrivens
  43. P2 10:59Shot by Fraser, saved by Markstrom
  44. P2 13:04Shot by Gardiner, saved by Markstrom6v5
  45. P2 13:09Shot by Kostka, saved by Markstrom6v5
  46. P2 13:34Huberdeau: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Frattin, Kostka, Gardiner, Bozak · FLA Kuba, Smithson, Upshall, Rallo, Kulikov

  47. P2 15:14Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Markstrom5v4
  48. P2 15:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Markstrom5v4
  49. P2 15:34Shot by Kadri, saved by Markstrom5v4
  50. P2 16:26Shot by Campbell, saved by Scrivens
  51. P2 17:22Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Scrivens
  52. P2 17:24Shot by Goc, saved by Scrivens
  53. P2 18:33Shot by Frattin, saved by Markstrom
  54. P2 18:54Shot by Kostka, saved by Markstrom
  55. P2 19:13Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Scrivens
  56. P2 0:00Kuba: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Hamilton, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Bozak, Kadri · FLA Kuba, Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Gudbranson

  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:22Goal by Lupul (Bozak, Kessel)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, Bozak · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Strachan

  60. P3 0:45Goal by Matthias (Huberdeau, Kuba)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Hamilton, Kulemin, Kostka, Gardiner · FLA Kuba, Santorelli, Matthias, Kulikov, Huberdeau

  61. P3 2:09Shot by Frattin, saved by Markstrom
  62. P3 2:32Shot by Goc, saved by Scrivens
  63. P3 2:46Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Scrivens
  64. P3 2:51Shot by Santorelli, saved by Scrivens
  65. P3 3:12Goal by Lupul (Kessel, Bozak)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Franson, Fraser, Kessel, Bozak · FLA Campbell, Strachan, Santorelli, Matthias, Huberdeau

  66. P3 3:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Markstrom
  67. P3 3:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 3:28Robak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Fraser, Hamilton, Kulemin, Kadri · FLA Mueller, Robak, Shore, Howden, Gudbranson

  69. P3 3:49Shot by Goc, saved by Scrivens5v4
  70. P3 5:39Shot by Goc, saved by Scrivens
  71. P3 6:12Shot by Fraser, saved by Markstrom
  72. P3 9:19Shot by Howden, saved by Scrivens
  73. P3 10:07Shot by Bozak, saved by Markstrom
  74. P3 10:34Shot by Campbell, saved by Scrivens
  75. P3 11:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Markstrom
  76. P3 12:28Shot by Mueller, saved by Scrivens
  77. P3 12:42Shot by Strachan, saved by Scrivens
  78. P3 13:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Markstrom
  79. P3 13:58Shot by Rallo, saved by Scrivens
  80. P3 17:04Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Scrivens
  81. P3 17:14Shot by Kopecky, saved by Scrivens
  82. P3 18:39Shot by Kopecky, saved by Scrivens5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final