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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 26, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Winnipeg Jets 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Winnipeg Jets

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 56% of the time.

CAR winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Little, saved by Peters
  3. P1 1:34Shot by Kane, saved by Peters
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Miettinen, saved by Peters
  5. P1 3:40Shot by Ladd, saved by Peters
  6. P1 4:01Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 4:04Shot by Tlusty, saved by Pavelec
  8. P1 4:05Jokinen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · WPG Jokinen, Miettinen, Byfuglien, Bogosian, Kane

  9. P1 4:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec5v4
  10. P1 4:25Shot by Kane, saved by Peters5v4
  11. P1 4:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec5v4
  12. P1 4:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec5v4
  13. P1 5:10Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  14. P1 6:06Goal by Tlusty (Nash, Brent)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, LaRose, Brent, Tlusty, Nash · WPG Jokinen, Miettinen, Enstrom, Clitsome, Kane

  15. P1 6:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec
  16. P1 6:46Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec
  17. P1 7:10Shot by Jokinen, saved by Peters
  18. P1 7:46Shot by Miettinen, saved by Peters
  19. P1 7:58Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Peters
  20. P1 8:01Shot by Little, saved by Peters
  21. P1 8:04Shot by Little, saved by Peters
  22. P1 9:13Cormier: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Dwyer, Nash, Bellemore · WPG Thorburn, Meech, Clitsome, Cormier, Burmistrov

  23. P1 9:13Bellemore: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Dwyer, Nash, Bellemore · WPG Thorburn, Meech, Clitsome, Cormier, Burmistrov

  24. P1 9:25Shot by LaRose, saved by Pavelec
  25. P1 10:04Shot by Gleason, saved by Pavelec
  26. P1 10:41Shot by Enstrom, saved by Peters
  27. P1 10:50Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  28. P1 13:44Goal by Jokinen (Kane, Hainsey)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · WPG Jokinen, Hainsey, Miettinen, Bogosian, Kane

  29. P1 16:47Shot by Clitsome, saved by Peters
  30. P1 17:50Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Peters
  31. P1 19:37Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Pavelec
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:30Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Peters
  35. P2 0:44Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 0:49Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 1:09Shot by Bogosian, saved by Peters
  38. P2 1:37Shot by LaRose, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 2:40Shot by Wellwood, saved by Peters
  40. P2 3:33Pitkanen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Pitkanen, Brent, McBain, Skinner · WPG Hainsey, Thorburn, Bogosian, Cormier, Burmistrov

  41. P2 7:32Shot by Wheeler, saved by Peters
  42. P2 8:04Shot by LaRose, saved by Pavelec
  43. P2 9:04Shot by Westgarth, saved by Pavelec
  44. P2 9:37Shot by Dwyer, saved by Pavelec
  45. P2 10:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec
  46. P2 10:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec
  47. P2 10:09Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec
  48. P2 11:23Staal: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · WPG Jokinen, Antropov, Hainsey, Miettinen, Byfuglien, Kane

  49. P2 11:31Goal by Enstrom (Byfuglien, Kane)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Harrison, Semin, Staal · WPG Antropov, Wellwood, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane

  50. P2 12:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec
  51. P2 15:24Shot by Clitsome, saved by Peters
  52. P2 15:33Shot by Meech, saved by Peters
  53. P2 15:49Shot by Dwyer, saved by Pavelec
  54. P2 15:57Shot by Wheeler, saved by Peters
  55. P2 16:14Shot by Tlusty, saved by Pavelec
  56. P2 16:24Shot by Bogosian, saved by Peters
  57. P2 16:35Shot by Kane, saved by Peters
  58. P2 16:38Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Peters
  59. P2 16:39Goal by Antropov (Burmistrov, Kane)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty · WPG Antropov, Hainsey, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov

  60. P2 16:56Shot by Jokinen, saved by Peters
  61. P2 16:50Shot by Kane, saved by Peters
  62. P2 17:07Shot by Kane, saved by Peters
  63. P2 17:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec
  64. P2 17:35Kane: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Skinner · WPG Jokinen, Miettinen, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Kane

  65. P2 17:42Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec5v4
  66. P2 18:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec5v4
  67. P2 19:41Shot by Dwyer, saved by Pavelec
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:39Shot by Ruutu, saved by Pavelec
  71. P3 1:45Shot by Ladd, saved by Peters
  72. P3 2:24Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Pavelec
  73. P3 3:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Pavelec
  74. P3 4:06Shot by Wheeler, saved by Peters
  75. P3 4:41Shot by Tlusty, saved by Pavelec
  76. P3 5:50Shot by McBain, saved by Pavelec
  77. P3 7:09Shot by Kane, saved by Peters
  78. P3 7:10Shot by Miettinen, saved by Peters
  79. P3 7:26Shot by Semin, saved by Pavelec
  80. P3 8:17Tangradi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Staal, McBain, Skinner · WPG Hainsey, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Tangradi, Bogosian

  81. P3 9:55Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  82. P3 10:11Shot by Staal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  83. P3 11:46Shot by Tlusty, saved by Pavelec
  84. P3 12:26Shot by Tlusty, saved by Pavelec
  85. P3 12:37Goal by Kane, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Tlusty, McBain · WPG Hainsey, Miettinen, Bogosian, Kane, Burmistrov

  86. P3 19:02Shot by Tangradi, saved by Peters
  87. P3 19:04Shot by Wellwood, saved by Peters
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final