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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 3, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Clowe, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 2:24McDonagh: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Stepan · PIT Cooke, Morrow, Orpik, Engelland, Kennedy

  4. P1 3:06Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  5. P1 3:15Shot by Niskanen, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  6. P1 6:22Shot by Stepan, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 7:10Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 7:39Shot by Engelland, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 8:36Kunitz: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Engelland, Kunitz, Sutter

  10. P1 10:01Goal by Richards (Brassard, Girardi)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Clowe, Boyle, Girardi, Brassard · PIT Adams, Dupuis, Murray, Engelland

  11. P1 11:52Shot by Clowe, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 12:19Goal by McDonagh (Richards, Clowe)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Clowe, Stralman, McDonagh, Zuccarello · PIT Morrow, Murray, Glass, Niskanen, Vitale

  13. P1 14:00Shot by Stralman, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 14:19Goal by Clowe (Stepan)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Clowe, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan, Zuccarello · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Engelland, Neal, Sutter

  15. P1 14:48Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 14:49Shot by Callahan, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 17:42Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 18:04Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 18:11Del Zotto: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Clowe, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan, Zuccarello · PIT Dupuis, Engelland, Kunitz, Sutter, Despres

  20. P1 19:37Shot by Morrow, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:56Shot by Malkin, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 1:27Malkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Clowe, Girardi, Del Zotto, Zuccarello · PIT Iginla, Murray, Engelland, Malkin, Neal

  25. P2 1:53Goal by Brassard (Boyle, Girardi)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Clowe, Boyle, Girardi, Brassard · PIT Cooke, Murray, Orpik, Glass

  26. P2 2:10Shot by Despres, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 2:26Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 2:27Goal by Dupuis (Bortuzzo, Morrow)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Brassard, Hagelin, Moore · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Vitale, Bortuzzo, Despres

  29. P2 3:50Shot by Despres, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 4:35Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 6:49Shot by Despres, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 7:15Shot by Richards, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 7:19Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 7:38Shot by Callahan, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 8:28Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 8:53Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 9:53Shot by Stepan, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 11:18Cooke: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Cooke, Glass, Niskanen, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  39. P2 11:18Asham: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Cooke, Glass, Niskanen, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  40. P2 11:18Glass: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Cooke, Glass, Niskanen, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  41. P2 11:18Glass: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Cooke, Glass, Niskanen, Vitale, Bortuzzo

  42. P2 11:52Goal by Clowe (Brassard, Richards)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Clowe, Boyle, Girardi, Brassard · PIT Adams, Murray, Orpik, Sutter

  43. P2 12:55Shot by Vitale, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 14:08Shot by Eminger, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 15:16Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 15:21Shot by Niskanen, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 15:24Shot by Malkin, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 18:05Shot by Boyle, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 18:26Shot by Boyle, saved by Fleury
  50. P2 19:53Shot by Clowe, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:31Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  54. P3 3:01Shot by Kennedy, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 3:47Shot by Richards, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 4:16Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 5:00Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 5:50Shot by Stepan, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 6:19Glass: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Adams, Glass, Kennedy, Bortuzzo, Despres

  60. P3 6:19Asham: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Asham, Pyatt, Eminger, Powe, Moore · PIT Adams, Glass, Kennedy, Bortuzzo, Despres

  61. P3 6:25Shot by Despres, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 7:31Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 7:48Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 8:46Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 9:47Goal by Moore (Boyle, Brassard)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Brassard, Hagelin, Moore · PIT Cooke, Morrow, Vitale, Bortuzzo, Despres

  66. P3 10:38Shot by Girardi, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 10:59Shot by Neal, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 11:50Shot by Nash, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 11:53Shot by Callahan, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 12:07Shot by Callahan, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 12:16Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 12:17Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 12:17Orpik: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Girardi, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Stepan · PIT Cooke, Morrow, Orpik, Engelland, Malkin

  74. P3 13:42Shot by Moore, saved by Fleury5v4
  75. P3 14:57Shot by Niskanen, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 16:50Shot by Pyatt, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 17:09Shot by Callahan, saved by Fleury
  78. P3 17:14Shot by McDonagh, saved by Fleury
  79. P3 18:49Shot by Brassard, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 19:16Shot by Engelland, saved by Lundqvist
  81. P3 19:32Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  82. P3 19:55Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final