Thu, Apr 4, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.
16%
8%
69%
TOR winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 25:42 | 0.87 | 58.7% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.00 | 34.4% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:30 | 0.06 | 36.3% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.07 | 37.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.01 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.02 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.07 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.33 | 42.8% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.30 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.17 | 56.6% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.44 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.36 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:49 | 0.19 | 45.4% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.04 | 45.7% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.05 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:37 | 0.02 | 38.7% | +17.8 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 1.61 | −1.4 | 59:54 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.14 | 39.6% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 23:16 | 0.42 | 63.1% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.06 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.32 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.00 | 67.2% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.06 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.05 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:18 | 0.03 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.03 | 51.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.11 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.02 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.08 | 27.1% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.17 | 71.9% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.02 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.01 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:12 | 0.01 | 25.8% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1:40 | 0.09 | 100.0% | +20.1 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.63 | −1.4 | 58:54 |