Thu, Apr 4, 2013·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 17 | 05 | 27 | 03 | 4 | 422 |
| CHI | 08 | 215 | 110 | 03 | 3 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:03STLAdam CracknellAssists: Chris Porter, Ryan Reaves · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 3:18CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Brent Seabrook, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.40 xG1–1
- P2 5:45CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–2
- P3 3:30STLAdam CracknellAssists: Chris Porter · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 7:06STLDavid BackesAssists: Jay Bouwmeester, Alexander Steen · Backhand, 0.25 xG3–2
- P3 15:29CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Michal Rozsival, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. STL Chris Stewart scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 4. STL Andy McDonald scored
- 5. CHI Andrew Shaw stopped
- 6. STL David Perron stopped
- 7. CHI Marian Hossa scored
- 8. STL Alexander Steen scored
- 9. CHI Brandon Saad stopped
- 10. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
- 11. CHI Michal Handzus stopped
- 12. STL Kevin Shattenkirk scored
Penalties (6)
- P2 0:59CHIDave Bolland: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:37STLJay Bouwmeester: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:22CHIViktor Stalberg: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:22STLRoman Polak: Instigator2 min
- P2 19:22STLRoman Polak: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:22STLRoman Polak: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestPorter – Cracknell – Reaves7:12
xG 0.46–0.27 (64%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Steen – Backes – Schwartz5:30
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- McDonald – Stewart – Berglund6:13
xG 0.12–0.12 (49%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Sobotka – Perron – Tarasenko12:25
xG 0.36–0.48 (43%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJackman – Shattenkirk2:31
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 1–0
- Jackman – Pietrangelo2:57
xG 0.11–0.04 (72%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Leopold – Pietrangelo2:42
xG 0.07–0.10 (43%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Saad13:50
xG 0.81–0.10 (89%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Handzus – Kruger – Bollig6:35
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Handzus – Bickell – Stalberg2:23
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Bickell – Stalberg – Shaw6:47
xG 0.44–0.35 (56%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Hjalmarsson16:07
xG 0.72–0.28 (72%)attempts 11–4goals 1–1
- Rozsival – Oduya17:14
xG 0.64–0.41 (61%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Leddy15:30
xG 0.41–0.47 (46%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).