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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 11, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

WSH winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Harrison, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 3:06Faulk: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Erskine, Ribeiro, Brouwer, Carlson, Volpatti · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  4. P1 3:14Brouwer: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Staal, Wallace

  5. P1 3:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Holtby4v4
  6. P1 4:51Hillen: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Hillen, Carlson, Johansson · CAR Semin, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti

  7. P1 5:00Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby3v4
  8. P1 5:01Goal by Skinner (Staal, Corvo)3v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · CAR Corvo, Semin, Staal, Skinner

  9. P1 5:24Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby4v5
  10. P1 6:00Shot by Faulk, saved by Holtby4v5
  11. P1 6:00Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby4v5
  12. P1 6:24Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby4v5
  13. P1 6:31Shot by McBain, saved by Holtby4v5
  14. P1 6:34Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby4v5
  15. P1 6:52Shot by Tlusty, saved by Holtby
  16. P1 6:54Shot by Tlusty, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 7:46Shot by Nash, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 8:38Shot by Westgarth, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 10:02Semin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Erskine, Hendricks, Wolski, Beagle, Carlson · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  20. P1 10:05Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Peters5v4
  21. P1 10:58Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Peters5v4
  22. P1 11:32Shot by Perreault, saved by Peters5v4
  23. P1 12:07Shot by Johansson, saved by Peters
  24. P1 13:14Shot by Beagle, saved by Peters
  25. P1 16:13Shot by Chimera, saved by Peters
  26. P1 17:40Shot by Hendricks, saved by Peters
  27. P1 19:07Shot by Harrison, saved by Holtby
  28. P1 19:43Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Peters
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:36Shot by Erskine, saved by Peters
  32. P2 2:02Shot by LaRose, saved by Holtby
  33. P2 2:12Shot by Fehr, saved by Peters
  34. P2 2:21Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 2:56Tlusty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Fehr, Perreault, Hillen, Oleksy · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  36. P2 3:00Ribeiro: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom · CAR Harrison, Staal, Sanguinetti, Wallace

  37. P2 3:26Shot by Erskine, saved by Peters4v4
  38. P2 5:33Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Peters
  39. P2 5:46Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Peters
  40. P2 7:14Shot by Carlson, saved by Peters
  41. P2 7:33Shot by Alzner, saved by Peters
  42. P2 7:36Shot by Hillen, saved by Peters
  43. P2 7:47Shot by Nash, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 7:54Staal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Fehr, Perreault, Hillen, Oleksy · CAR Ruutu, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  45. P2 8:08Goal by Brouwer (Ribeiro, Backstrom)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Faulk

  46. P2 8:40Hendricks: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Hendricks, Wolski, Green, Alzner, Beagle · CAR Gleason, Blanchard, Staal, Westgarth, Faulk

  47. P2 8:40Blanchard: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Hendricks, Wolski, Green, Alzner, Beagle · CAR Gleason, Blanchard, Staal, Westgarth, Faulk

  48. P2 9:02Shot by Perreault, saved by Peters
  49. P2 10:46Goal by Green (Beagle, Wolski)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wolski, Green, Alzner, Beagle · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  50. P2 11:58Shot by Westgarth, saved by Holtby
  51. P2 12:19Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  52. P2 13:45Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  53. P2 14:00Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Peters
  54. P2 14:23Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  55. P2 15:15Shot by LaRose, saved by Holtby
  56. P2 15:26Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  57. P2 17:13Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  58. P2 17:23Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby
  59. P2 18:48Shot by Nash, saved by Holtby
  60. P2 18:49Shot by Ruutu, saved by Holtby
  61. P2 19:02Shot by Beagle, saved by Peters
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:51Shot by Green, saved by Peters
  65. P3 1:01Shot by Green, saved by Peters
  66. P3 2:40Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 3:21Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  68. P3 3:27Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  69. P3 5:14Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Peters
  70. P3 5:57Shot by Chimera, saved by Peters
  71. P3 6:01Shot by Carlson, saved by Peters
  72. P3 10:48Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Peters
  73. P3 11:55Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  74. P3 12:08Shot by Carlson, saved by Peters
  75. P3 12:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Holtby
  76. P3 12:36Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Holtby
  77. P3 12:38Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  78. P3 13:54Shot by McBain, saved by Holtby
  79. P3 14:02Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  80. P3 14:04Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  81. P3 15:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Peters
  82. P3 16:10Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  83. P3 17:21Shot by Volpatti, saved by Peters
  84. P3 17:38Shot by Harrison, saved by Holtby
  85. P3 18:33Shot by Semin, saved by Holtby
  86. P3 18:40Shot by Tlusty, saved by Holtby5v6
  87. P3 19:08Shot by Tlusty, saved by Holtby5v6
  88. P3 19:09Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby5v6
  89. P3 19:10Johansson: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Erskine, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson · CAR Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  90. P3 19:10Skinner: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Erskine, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson · CAR Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk, Skinner

  91. P3 19:54Goal by Brouwer, unassisted4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Erskine, Brouwer, Backstrom, Carlson · CAR Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. P3 0:00Final