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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 12, 2013·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 5, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 50% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Fraser, saved by Mason
  3. P1 6:04Goal by Cole (Fiddler, Larsen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gill, Blum, Butler, Watson, Bang · DAL Cole, Fiddler, Nystrom, Rome, Larsen

  4. P1 6:59Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Klein, Kostitsyn, Bartley, Spaling, Smith · DAL Rome, Wandell, Larsen, Roussel, Garbutt

  5. P1 8:40Goal by Whitney (Goligoski, Fiddler)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Bartley, Halischuk · DAL Whitney, Cole, Fiddler, Nystrom, Goligoski

  6. P1 10:24Shot by Beck, saved by Bachman
  7. P1 10:55Spaling: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Klein, Kostitsyn, Bartley, Halischuk, Spaling · DAL Cole, Fiddler, Nystrom, Goligoski, Dillon

  8. P1 12:23Shot by Nystrom, saved by Mason4v5
  9. P1 12:59Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman
  10. P1 13:28Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mason
  11. P1 13:53Shot by Butler, saved by Bachman
  12. P1 14:01Shot by Bang, saved by Bachman
  13. P1 16:05Roussel: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Gill, Clune, Blum, Smith, Watson · DAL Rome, Wandell, Larsen, Roussel, Garbutt

  14. P1 16:05Clune: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Gill, Clune, Blum, Smith, Watson · DAL Rome, Wandell, Larsen, Roussel, Garbutt

  15. P1 17:54Dillon: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Kostitsyn, Halischuk, Spaling, Josi · DAL Whitney, Goligoski, Benn, Chiasson, Dillon

  16. P1 18:42Goal by Beck (Josi, Hornqvist)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi, Beck · DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Daley, Nystrom

  17. P1 19:50Shot by Weber, saved by Bachman
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:21Shot by Fiddler, saved by Mason
  21. P2 2:03Shot by Eriksson, saved by Mason
  22. P2 2:28Goal by Wandell (Garbutt, Roussel)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Klein, Bartley, Butler, Watson, Bang · DAL Goligoski, Wandell, Roussel, Dillon, Garbutt

  23. P2 3:20Shot by Nystrom, saved by Mason
  24. P2 4:24Shot by Beck, saved by Bachman
  25. P2 4:59Shot by Beck, saved by Bachman
  26. P2 5:41Shot by Fraser, saved by Mason
  27. P2 7:11Nystrom: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Kostitsyn, Spaling, Josi, Butler · DAL Cole, Fiddler, Nystrom, Rome, Larsen

  28. P2 7:22Shot by Josi, saved by Bachman5v4
  29. P2 9:05Shot by Bartley, saved by Bachman5v4
  30. P2 11:12Goal by Chiasson (Whitney, Daley)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Clune, Bartley, Halischuk, Mueller, Josi · DAL Whitney, Robidas, Daley, Benn, Chiasson

  31. P2 12:55Shot by Mueller, saved by Bachman
  32. P2 14:01Shot by Halischuk, saved by Bachman
  33. P2 14:52Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman
  34. P2 15:36Shot by Butler, saved by Bachman
  35. P2 15:37Robidas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gill, Blum, Butler, Watson, Bang · DAL Robidas, Daley, Eriksson, Eakin, Fraser

  36. P2 16:04Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman5v4
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:31Shot by Dillon, saved by Mason
  40. P3 3:19Shot by Halischuk, saved by Bachman
  41. P3 5:44Shot by Josi, saved by Bachman
  42. P3 6:11Shot by Butler, saved by Bachman
  43. P3 6:35Shot by Chiasson, saved by Mason
  44. P3 7:03Goal by Chiasson, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi, Beck · DAL Whitney, Robidas, Daley, Benn, Chiasson

  45. P3 8:11Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman
  46. P3 8:09Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Bachman
  47. P3 8:18Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Bachman
  48. P3 8:50Shot by Bang, saved by Bachman
  49. P3 9:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bachman
  50. P3 10:02Shot by Legwand, saved by Bachman
  51. P3 10:12Shot by Smith, saved by Bachman
  52. P3 11:54Shot by Garbutt, saved by Mason
  53. P3 12:00Shot by Roussel, saved by Mason
  54. P3 12:12Goal by Butler (Bang, Bartley)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bartley, Blum, Butler, Watson, Bang · DAL Rome, Wandell, Larsen, Roussel, Garbutt

  55. P3 13:00Shot by Klein, saved by Bachman
  56. P3 15:55Shot by Josi, saved by Bachman
  57. P3 16:31Kostitsyn: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Kostitsyn, Spaling, Josi, Smith · DAL Rome, Eriksson, Larsen, Eakin, Fraser

  58. P3 17:51Shot by Chiasson, saved by Mason4v5
  59. P3 19:25Shot by Nystrom, saved by Mason4v5
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final