Mon, Apr 15, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
San Jose Sharks 4, Phoenix Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 010 | 324 | 17 | 441 |
| PHX | 012 | 07 | 016 | 035 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:50SJSLogan CoutureGWGAssists: Jason Demers, Patrick Marleau · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P2 10:38SJSTommy WingelsUnassisted · Backhand, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 16:01SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Raffi Torres, Tommy Wingels · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–0
- P3 18:33SJSMatt IrwinPPAssists: Dan Boyle, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.46 xG4–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:52PHXKeith Yandle: Slashing2 min
- P1 4:52SJSRaffi Torres: Elbowing2 min
- P2 13:16PHXKyle Chipchura: Interference2 min
- P2 17:24SJSTJ Galiardi: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:10SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Holding2 min
- P3 17:54PHXMartin Hanzal: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 19:25SJSJoe Pavelski: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Havlat – Couture13:31
xG 1.69–0.47 (78%)attempts 17–16goals 1–0
- Torres – Pavelski – Wingels10:40
xG 0.45–0.12 (79%)attempts 10–11goals 2–0
- Gomez – Burish – Desjardins9:31
xG 0.17–0.20 (46%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun12:20
xG 1.40–0.15 (90%)attempts 14–14goals 0–0
- Boyle – Irwin7:13
xG 0.41–0.19 (69%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Stuart – Demers12:19
xG 0.52–0.42 (55%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- Moss – Bolduc – Chipchura2:51
xG 0.12–0.12 (51%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Vermette – Boedker2:21
xG 0.08–0.09 (47%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Doan – Vrbata – Hanzal10:25
xG 0.16–0.45 (26%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Vermette – Conner – Boedker8:10
xG 0.09–0.48 (15%)attempts 4–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Stone7:10
xG 0.18–0.10 (64%)attempts 8–3goals 0–1
- Morris – Yandle16:22
xG 0.55–0.49 (53%)attempts 21–15goals 0–1
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson13:43
xG 0.32–0.52 (38%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).