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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 16, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

OTT winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Faulk, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Conacher, saved by Peters
  4. P1 2:46Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 2:53Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:37Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Peters
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Dwyer, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 4:41Shot by Dwyer, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 4:46Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Peters
  10. P1 5:28Shot by Pageau, saved by Peters
  11. P1 9:08Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Peters
  12. P1 12:57Shot by Turris, saved by Peters
  13. P1 13:11Cowen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · CAR LaRose, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  14. P1 13:11LaRose: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · CAR LaRose, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  15. P1 13:11LaRose: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · CAR LaRose, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  16. P1 13:11LaRose: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · CAR LaRose, Staal, McBain, Sanguinetti, Skinner

  17. P1 13:41Shot by Gonchar, saved by Peters5v4
  18. P1 14:26Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Peters5v4
  19. P1 15:09Shot by Gonchar, saved by Peters5v4
  20. P1 15:20Shot by Blanchard, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 15:21Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Bergeron, Blanchard, Faulk

  22. P1 15:21Blanchard: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Bergeron, Blanchard, Faulk

  23. P1 15:27Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 15:35Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 15:36Shot by Westgarth, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 16:32Shot by McBain, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 16:39Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters
  28. P1 17:22Goal by Zibanejad (Conacher, Gonchar)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Wiercioch, Silfverberg, Conacher, Zibanejad · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Harrison, Dwyer, Staal

  29. P1 18:07Shot by Turris, saved by Peters
  30. P1 18:44Shot by Neil, saved by Peters
  31. P1 18:49Shot by Gryba, saved by Peters
  32. P1 19:54Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:15Shot by Semin, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 0:22Methot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Michalek, Methot, Turris · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  37. P2 2:16Shot by Gryba, saved by Peters4v5
  38. P2 2:23Shot by Cowen, saved by Peters
  39. P2 6:00Goal by Michalek (Wiercioch, Gonchar)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Michalek, Turris, Wiercioch · CAR Staal, Blanchard, McBain, Sanguinetti, Westgarth

  40. P2 8:17Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Peters
  41. P2 8:50Shot by McBain, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 9:17Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters
  43. P2 9:20Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters
  44. P2 9:28Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters
  45. P2 9:49Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 10:00Goal by Faulk (Staal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Michalek, Methot, Turris · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Semin, Staal, Faulk

  47. P2 10:10Westgarth: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Greening, Gryba, Condra, Cowen, Pageau · CAR Corvo, Harrison, Blanchard, Staal, Westgarth

  48. P2 10:10Cowen: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Greening, Gryba, Condra, Cowen, Pageau · CAR Corvo, Harrison, Blanchard, Staal, Westgarth

  49. P2 10:10Westgarth: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Greening, Gryba, Condra, Cowen, Pageau · CAR Corvo, Harrison, Blanchard, Staal, Westgarth

  50. P2 10:58Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Peters5v4
  51. P2 11:07Shot by Gonchar, saved by Peters5v4
  52. P2 11:41Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Peters5v4
  53. P2 12:12Goal by Neil (Latendresse)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Latendresse, Smith, Wiercioch · CAR Corvo, Bergeron, LaRose, McBain, Nash

  54. P2 12:56Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 13:39Shot by Faulk, saved by Anderson
  56. P2 13:52Shot by Pageau, saved by Peters
  57. P2 13:59Shot by Pageau, saved by Peters
  58. P2 14:26Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson
  59. P2 14:42Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 15:02Shot by Harrison, saved by Anderson
  61. P2 15:06Shot by Corvo, saved by Anderson
  62. P2 15:05Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  63. P2 15:16Turris: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Michalek, Methot, Gryba, Turris · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  64. P2 15:43Shot by Semin, saved by Anderson4v5
  65. P2 16:24Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson4v5
  66. P2 18:46Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters
  67. P2 19:47Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Blanchard, Nash, Faulk

  68. P2 19:47Gleason: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Neil, Latendresse, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Blanchard, Nash, Faulk

  69. P2 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Period start
  71. P3 0:30Shot by Harrison, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 0:37Shot by Harrison, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 1:14Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 3:21Shot by Gonchar, saved by Peters
  75. P3 6:02Shot by McBain, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 6:58Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters
  77. P3 7:30Shot by Cowen, saved by Peters
  78. P3 8:30Westgarth: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Pageau · CAR Corvo, Ruutu, Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Westgarth

  79. P3 9:29Shot by Dwyer, saved by Anderson5v4
  80. P3 10:23Shot by Phillips, saved by Peters5v4
  81. P3 13:27Shot by Ruutu, saved by Anderson
  82. P3 13:41Shot by Sanguinetti, saved by Anderson
  83. P3 14:21Shot by LaRose, saved by Anderson
  84. P3 14:30Wiercioch: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Greening, Condra, Wiercioch, Pageau · CAR Gleason, LaRose, Staal, Westgarth, Nash, Faulk

  85. P3 14:31Shot by Faulk, saved by Anderson4v5
  86. P3 15:56Shot by Michalek, saved by Peters4v5
  87. P3 16:18Michalek: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Michalek, Methot · CAR Ruutu, Bergeron, Semin, Staal, Faulk

  88. P3 16:18Bergeron: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Michalek, Methot · CAR Ruutu, Bergeron, Semin, Staal, Faulk

  89. P3 16:18Michalek: Elbowing (2 min)3v4

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Michalek, Methot · CAR Ruutu, Bergeron, Semin, Staal, Faulk

  90. P3 16:30Goal by Staal (Tlusty, Faulk)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Greening, Gryba, Cowen · CAR Corvo, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk

  91. P3 17:19Semin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Greening, Gryba, Turris, Cowen · CAR Harrison, Semin, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  92. P3 17:39Shot by Phillips, saved by Peters5v4
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final