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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 16, 2013·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 2, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 57% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:50Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 4:04Shot by Clowe, saved by Mason
  4. P1 9:28Goal by Schenn (Manning, Brière)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Brière, Hartnell, Foster, Schenn, Manning · NYR Clowe, Stralman, Brassard, Del Zotto, Zuccarello

  5. P1 10:01Shot by Boyle, saved by Mason
  6. P1 11:20Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  7. P1 11:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  8. P1 12:35Shot by Rosehill, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 12:37Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 13:00Rosehill: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Fedotenko, Rosehill, Giroux, Schenn, Lauridsen · NYR Richards, Boyle, Brassard, McDonagh, Hagelin, Del Zotto

  11. P1 13:35Shot by Girardi, saved by Mason4v5
  12. P1 14:17Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 14:25Shot by Callahan, saved by Mason4v5
  14. P1 17:00Shot by Stepan, saved by Mason
  15. P1 17:21Goal by Gustafsson (Couturier, Read)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Simmonds, Gustafsson, Read, Couturier · NYR Nash, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan

  16. P1 17:36Voracek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gagne, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn, Lauridsen · NYR Richards, Stralman, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Zuccarello

  17. P1 17:45Shot by Stepan, saved by Mason4v5
  18. P1 18:33Shot by Girardi, saved by Mason4v5
  19. P1 19:59Shot by Pyatt, saved by Mason
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:32Shot by Gagne, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 0:49Shot by Stepan, saved by Mason
  24. P2 1:29Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  25. P2 1:44Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  26. P2 2:54Goal by Zuccarello (Moore)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Schenn, Lauridsen, Read · NYR Clowe, Girardi, Brassard, Moore, Zuccarello

  27. P2 3:51Asham: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Hall, Fedotenko, Foster, Rosehill, Gustafsson · NYR Asham, Pyatt, Girardi, Powe, McDonagh

  28. P2 3:51Rosehill: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Hall, Fedotenko, Foster, Rosehill, Gustafsson · NYR Asham, Pyatt, Girardi, Powe, McDonagh

  29. P2 4:10Hartnell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Brière, Hartnell, Schenn, Gustafsson · NYR Richards, Nash, Stralman, Hagelin, Del Zotto

  30. P2 5:16Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  31. P2 5:49Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P2 6:14Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  33. P2 6:58McDonagh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Brière, Hartnell, Schenn, Schenn, Lauridsen · NYR Pyatt, Girardi, Brassard, Powe, McDonagh

  34. P2 7:02Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  35. P2 7:44Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  36. P2 8:12Shot by Timonen, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  37. P2 9:42Clowe: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hall, Fedotenko, Schenn, Gustafsson, Couturier · NYR Richards, Clowe, Nash, Eminger, Moore

  38. P2 9:56Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  39. P2 10:00Goal by Timonen (Giroux)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · NYR Richards, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh

  40. P2 11:56Shot by Timonen, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 13:06Shot by Powe, saved by Mason
  42. P2 13:08Shot by Asham, saved by Mason
  43. P2 13:12Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  44. P2 13:48Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 15:48Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  46. P2 15:59Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 16:40Schenn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Lauridsen, Read, Couturier · NYR Asham, Stralman, Powe, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  48. P2 18:17Shot by Stralman, saved by Mason4v5
  49. P2 18:41Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Mason
  50. P2 19:00Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  51. P2 19:15Shot by Callahan, saved by Mason
  52. P2 19:36Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:17Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  56. P3 1:42Shot by Clowe, saved by Mason
  57. P3 2:40Shot by Timonen, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 4:00Shot by Gagne, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 4:40Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Mason
  60. P3 4:54Hartnell: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hartnell, Foster, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning · NYR Clowe, Stralman, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  61. P3 5:15Shot by Brassard, saved by Mason4v5
  62. P3 5:22Shot by Stepan, saved by Mason4v5
  63. P3 6:41Shot by Girardi, saved by Mason4v5
  64. P3 6:54Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Mason
  65. P3 7:28Goal by Stepan (Callahan, Brassard)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Brière, Hartnell, Foster, Schenn, Manning · NYR Callahan, Stralman, Brassard, McDonagh, Stepan

  66. P3 8:00Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  67. P3 8:30Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Mason
  68. P3 8:36Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Mason
  69. P3 8:37Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  70. P3 8:40Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  71. P3 10:40Shot by Moore, saved by Mason
  72. P3 10:49Shot by Moore, saved by Mason
  73. P3 12:18Shot by Clowe, saved by Mason
  74. P3 14:26Shot by Powe, saved by Mason
  75. P3 17:35Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 19:46Goal by Voracek (Timonen, Giroux)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Gagne, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn · NYR Nash, Callahan, Girardi, Brassard, Stepan, Zuccarello

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final