Sat, Apr 20, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Detroit Red Wings 1, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 19 | 04 | 017 | 04 | 0 | 134 |
| VAN | 14 | 07 | 02 | 01 | 1 | 214 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:15VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Derek Roy · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 19:39DETCory EmmertonAssists: Damien Brunner · Deflected, 0.11 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 2. DET Pavel Datsyuk stopped
- 3. VAN Derek Roy stopped
- 4. DET Henrik Zetterberg stopped
- 5. VAN Maxim Lapierre scored
- 6. DET Damien Brunner stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 9:14DETNiklas Kronwall: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:27DETBrendan Smith: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:27VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:30DETJustin Abdelkader: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:30VANKeith Ballard: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:30VANKeith Ballard: Interference2 min
- P2 8:01DETJohan Franzen: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:01DETJohan Franzen: Interference2 min
- P2 8:01VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:06DETDanny DeKeyser: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:23VANJason Garrison: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Datsyuk
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestDatsyuk – Franzen – Abdelkader11:03
xG 0.66–0.00 (100%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Datsyuk – Zetterberg – Franzen2:34
xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Andersson – Nyquist – Brunner6:30
xG 0.11–0.03 (79%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Cleary – Zetterberg – Filppula9:01
xG 0.21–0.13 (61%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKindl – DeKeyser14:44
xG 0.88–0.22 (80%)attempts 17–10goals 1–0
- Quincey – Smith11:19
xG 0.36–0.02 (95%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Kronwall – Ericsson14:14
xG 0.44–0.20 (69%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows11:30
xG 0.20–0.03 (88%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Pinizzotto – Weise3:51
xG 0.06–0.16 (26%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Roy – Hansen – Ebbett9:41
xG 0.16–0.57 (22%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
- Kesler – Raymond – Kassian9:21
xG 0.02–0.59 (3%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Ballard – Barker7:00
xG 0.12–0.12 (50%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Edler2:31
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Alberts – Garrison3:22
xG 0.11–0.18 (37%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).