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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 27, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.

OTT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Read, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:52Shot by Gryba, saved by Mason
  4. P1 3:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:46Goal by Akeson (Giroux)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Turris, Karlsson · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Schenn, Lauridsen, Akeson

  6. P1 4:09Shot by Cowen, saved by Mason
  7. P1 6:18Shot by Turris, saved by Mason
  8. P1 7:25Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Gryba, saved by Mason
  10. P1 9:00Shot by Manning, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 9:07Couturier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Condra, Karlsson, Conacher, Pageau · PHI Knuble, Lilja, Giroux, Gustafsson, Couturier

  12. P1 9:23Shot by Gonchar, saved by Mason5v4
  13. P1 10:27Shot by Michalek, saved by Mason5v4
  14. P1 12:32Shot by Cowen, saved by Mason
  15. P1 13:05Shot by Gryba, saved by Mason
  16. P1 14:17Shot by Methot, saved by Mason
  17. P1 14:20Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason
  18. P1 15:15Shot by Methot, saved by Mason
  19. P1 17:05Brière: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson, Zibanejad · PHI Knuble, Brière, Rosehill, Schenn, Konan

  20. P1 19:04Shot by Smith, saved by Mason5v4
  21. P1 19:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  22. P1 19:58Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:25Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 1:46Shot by Gagne, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 1:54Shot by Konan, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 2:07Shot by Lilja, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 2:28Rosehill: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Methot, Condra, Conacher, Pageau · PHI Knuble, Lilja, Rosehill, Gustafsson, Couturier

  30. P2 4:35Goal by Turris (Greening, Phillips)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Greening, Turris, Cowen · PHI Knuble, Gagne, Rosehill, Lauridsen, Gustafsson

  31. P2 4:52Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Mason
  32. P2 4:57Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  33. P2 5:38Shot by Kassian, saved by Mason
  34. P2 7:14Shot by Phillips, saved by Mason
  35. P2 7:16Shot by Greening, saved by Mason
  36. P2 7:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  37. P2 7:59Shot by Condra, saved by Mason
  38. P2 8:42Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 8:48Condra: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Methot, Gryba, Condra, Turris, Conacher · PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Konan, Manning, Read

  40. P2 11:21Shot by Konan, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 11:25Shot by Lilja, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 11:40Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 12:31Shot by Lauridsen, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 13:21Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 14:47Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason
  46. P2 16:54Shot by Turris, saved by Mason
  47. P2 17:05Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Mason
  48. P2 17:30Michalek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Michalek, Gryba, Silfverberg, Zibanejad · PHI Brière, Gagne, Hartnell, Lilja, Gustafsson

  49. P2 17:48Shot by Turris, saved by Mason4v5
  50. P2 17:51Hartnell: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Methot, Condra, Turris · PHI Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gustafsson

  51. P2 19:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason4v4
  52. P2 19:46Shot by Turris, saved by Mason5v4
  53. P2 19:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:16Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 0:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  58. P3 1:13Neil: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Kassian, Smith, Cowen · PHI Rosehill, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Lauridsen

  59. P3 1:13Rosehill: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Kassian, Smith, Cowen · PHI Rosehill, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Lauridsen

  60. P3 1:13Lauridsen: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Kassian, Smith, Cowen · PHI Rosehill, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Lauridsen

  61. P3 1:13Kassian: Misconduct (10 min)4v3

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Kassian, Smith, Cowen · PHI Rosehill, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Lauridsen

  62. P3 1:38Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Mason
  63. P3 2:14Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 3:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 3:49Shot by Akeson, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 4:22Shot by Michalek, saved by Mason
  67. P3 5:30Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 5:35Shot by Konan, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 6:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason
  70. P3 8:04Shot by Knuble, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 8:19Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  72. P3 8:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  73. P3 10:02Goal by Voracek (Gustafsson, Mason)+30 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Gryba, Condra, Smith, Zibanejad · PHI Brière, Lilja, Voracek, Gustafsson, Akeson

  74. P3 10:27Voracek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Michalek, Methot, Turris, Karlsson · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Schenn, Konan, Akeson

  75. P3 11:11Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason5v4
  76. P3 11:38Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason5v4
  77. P3 11:57Shot by Gonchar, saved by Mason5v4
  78. P3 12:17Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason5v4
  79. P3 13:05Shot by Phillips, saved by Mason
  80. P3 14:12Shot by Brière, saved by Anderson
  81. P3 14:39Shot by Michalek, saved by Mason
  82. P3 15:37Shot by Greening, saved by Mason
  83. P3 17:05Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Mason
  84. P3 18:10Shot by Turris, saved by Mason
  85. P3 18:40Shot by Konan, saved by Anderson
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final