Thu, Oct 3, 2013·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 1, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 17 | 010 | 05 | 122 |
| SJS | 016 | 211 | 28 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:04VANJason GarrisonPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 5:53SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Tomas Hertl, Joe Thornton · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 18:07SJSJustin BraunGWGAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Logan Couture · Snap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 14:39SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Logan Couture · Snap, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 15:57SJSTommy WingelsAssists: Andrew Desjardins · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 3:44VANDale Weise: Holding2 min
- P1 8:29SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 12:48SJSBrent Burns: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:11VANAlexander Edler: Interference2 min
- P2 8:23VANRyan Kesler: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 8:23VANJason Garrison: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:59VANMike Santorelli: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 14:18SJSMatt Nieto: Interference2 min
- P2 14:30VANRyan Kesler: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:33VANDaniel Sedin: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:46SJSJustin Braun: Holding2 min
- P3 8:03SJSJames Sheppard: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:33VANJason Garrison: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 19:35SJSMatt Pelech: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows6:59
xG 0.63–0.07 (90%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Hansen8:43
xG 0.49–0.19 (72%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Booth2:53
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Richardson – Santorelli – Hansen2:07
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Bieksa10:01
xG 0.70–0.21 (77%)attempts 16–7goals 0–1
- Edler – Garrison11:34
xG 0.86–0.42 (67%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Tanev2:28
xG 0.12–0.07 (62%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Wingels – Nieto6:42
xG 0.52–0.06 (90%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Marleau – Kennedy – Couture8:22
xG 0.66–0.59 (53%)attempts 12–7goals 2–0
- Pelech – Desjardins – Sheppard3:23
xG 0.08–0.05 (61%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun11:08
xG 0.67–0.22 (76%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Boyle – Irwin8:51
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Hannan – Demers4:36
xG 0.31–0.38 (45%)attempts 6–6goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).