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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 4, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 1, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 67% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:09Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 3:39Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Jones, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 8:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 8:29Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 9:09Shot by Nystrom, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 11:08Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 11:32Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 13:51Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 14:50Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 14:51Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 16:17Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 16:24Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 16:48Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 17:16Shot by Guenin, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 17:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 17:45Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 18:17Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 18:49Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 18:50Goal by Parenteau (McGinn, MacKinnon)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Hejda, McGinn, MacKinnon · NSH Fisher, Hendricks, Clune, Ekholm, Jones

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:20Downie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque

  28. P2 1:17Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P2 1:54Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov4v5
  30. P2 5:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 5:13Shot by Guenin, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 6:54Shot by Legwand, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 7:10Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 7:43Shot by Cliche, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:54Goal by Bordeleau (Guenin, Cliche)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, Bordeleau, McLeod, Cliche, Barrie · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Weber, Clune, Josi

  36. P2 8:23Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 9:21Downie: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque

  38. P2 9:21Weber: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque

  39. P2 9:21Weber: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque

  40. P2 11:16Shot by Parenteau, saved by Rinne5v4
  41. P2 11:39Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 12:10Downie: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Cullen, Legwand, Klein, Clune, Bartley, Smith

  43. P2 12:23Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  44. P2 13:59Shot by Benoit, saved by Rinne4v5
  45. P2 14:10Goal by Gaustad (Fisher, Smith)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Benoit, Hejda, Duchene, MacKinnon · NSH Fisher, Gaustad, Klein, Smith, Jones

  46. P2 14:32Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 15:58Shot by Tanguay, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 16:05Klein: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Parenteau, Guenin, Mitchell, Duchene, Barrie · NSH Cullen, Klein, Bartley, Wilson, Smith

  49. P2 17:22Shot by Parenteau, saved by Rinne5v4
  50. P2 18:06Shot by Legwand, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 18:13Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 19:19Fisher: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Sarich, Tanguay, Benoit, Mitchell, Stastny, Duchene · NSH Fisher, Hendricks, Nystrom, Weber, Ekholm

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:23Shot by Benoit, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 1:30Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 2:37Shot by Hejda, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 2:52Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 3:04Parenteau: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Mitchell, Downie, Duchene · NSH Legwand, Bartley, Wilson, Smith, Jones

  60. P3 4:30Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov4v5
  61. P3 4:31Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov4v5
  62. P3 4:49Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov4v5
  63. P3 6:06Shot by Stastny, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 7:05Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 8:18Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Cullen, Weber, Ekholm, Smith, Bourque

  66. P3 9:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne5v4
  67. P3 9:28Downie: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Klein, Bartley

  68. P3 9:28Nystrom: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Klein, Bartley

  69. P3 9:28Nystrom: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Klein, Bartley

  70. P3 9:28Downie: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Klein, Bartley

  71. P3 10:25Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 10:28Shot by Gaustad, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 10:41Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  74. P3 11:27Shot by Benoit, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 11:53Weber: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Guenin, McLeod, O'Reilly, Duchene, Barrie · NSH Fisher, Klein, Weber, Clune, Spaling

  76. P3 12:16Shot by Hendricks, saved by Varlamov5v4
  77. P3 14:08Shot by McGinn, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 15:40Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  79. P3 18:27Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 18:48Goal by Parenteau (Stastny, Mitchell)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, Mitchell, Stastny, Johnson · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Hornqvist, Spaling, Ekholm, Jones

  81. P3 19:25Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov5v6
  82. P3 19:52Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final