Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:42Shot by Read, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:42DeKeyser: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Cleary, Quincey, Andersson, DeKeyser · PHI Streit, Talbot, Schenn, Read, Couturier

  4. P1 1:50Shot by Simmonds, saved by Howard4v5
  5. P1 3:58Shot by Hall, saved by Howard
  6. P1 5:11Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:25Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Emery
  8. P1 6:45Shot by Simmonds, saved by Howard
  9. P1 6:49Raffl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Weiss, Quincey, Franzen, Abdelkader, DeKeyser · PHI Streit, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Raffl

  10. P1 7:13Goal by Bertuzzi (Alfredsson, Kronwall)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall · PHI Hall, Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann

  11. P1 8:35Shot by Franzen, saved by Emery
  12. P1 9:41Shot by Read, saved by Howard
  13. P1 10:06Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Emery
  14. P1 11:36Shot by Simmonds, saved by Howard
  15. P1 11:31Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  16. P1 13:32Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard
  17. P1 15:35Shot by Cleary, saved by Emery
  18. P1 15:41Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Emery
  19. P1 16:29McGinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson · PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, McGinn

  20. P1 17:21Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Emery5v4
  21. P1 19:33Shot by Ericsson, saved by Emery
  22. P1 19:35Coburn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Weiss, Ericsson, Franzen, Abdelkader · PHI Talbot, Coburn, Grossmann, Read, Couturier

  23. P1 19:44Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Emery5v4
  24. P1 19:57Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Emery5v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:59Shot by Read, saved by Howard5v4
  28. P2 3:19Glendening: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Tootoo, Quincey, Miller, Lashoff, Glendening · PHI Timonen, Simmonds, Schenn, Gustafsson, Raffl

  29. P2 4:08Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard4v5
  30. P2 4:57Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard4v5
  31. P2 6:01Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  32. P2 6:02Shot by Raffl, saved by Howard
  33. P2 6:58Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  34. P2 9:10Schenn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, DeKeyser · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn, McGinn

  35. P2 10:16Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Emery5v4
  36. P2 10:49Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Emery5v4
  37. P2 11:08Goal by Kronwall (Alfredsson, Zetterberg)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall · PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Read, Couturier

  38. P2 11:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  39. P2 11:32Shot by Raffl, saved by Howard
  40. P2 11:42Goal by Gustafsson (Schenn, Simmonds)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tootoo, Quincey, Miller, Glendening, DeKeyser · PHI Timonen, Simmonds, Schenn, Gustafsson, Raffl

  41. P2 12:10Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Emery
  42. P2 12:50Shot by Read, saved by Howard
  43. P2 12:57Shot by Read, saved by Howard
  44. P2 13:13Shot by Timonen, saved by Howard
  45. P2 13:25Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Howard
  46. P2 13:52Ericsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson · PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, McGinn

  47. P2 14:37Simmonds: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Miller, Lashoff, Glendening · PHI Timonen, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn

  48. P2 15:25Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Emery4v4
  49. P2 15:30Shot by Kronwall, saved by Emery4v4
  50. P2 15:31Shot by Weiss, saved by Emery4v4
  51. P2 17:40Shot by Andersson, saved by Emery
  52. P2 18:10Shot by Newbury, saved by Howard
  53. P2 18:15Shot by Voracek, saved by Howard
  54. P2 18:36Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Emery
  55. P2 19:45Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Emery
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:17Shot by Grossmann, saved by Howard
  59. P3 0:48Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Emery
  60. P3 1:16Shot by Couturier, saved by Howard
  61. P3 1:38Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  62. P3 2:37Coburn: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson · PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, McGinn

  63. P3 3:08Goal by Datsyuk (Kronwall, Alfredsson)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall · PHI Timonen, Hall, Talbot, Schenn

  64. P3 3:38Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Howard
  65. P3 4:01Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Howard
  66. P3 4:45Shot by Ericsson, saved by Emery
  67. P3 5:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard
  68. P3 5:46Goal by McGinn (Giroux, Voracek)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn, McGinn

  69. P3 6:10Shot by Simmonds, saved by Howard
  70. P3 6:59Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Emery
  71. P3 8:57Shot by Coburn, saved by Howard
  72. P3 9:33Shot by Franzen, saved by Emery
  73. P3 10:00Weiss: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Weiss, Franzen, Kindl, Abdelkader, Lashoff · PHI Timonen, Simmonds, Schenn, Gustafsson, Raffl

  74. P3 10:20Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard4v5
  75. P3 11:31Shot by Glendening, saved by Emery4v5
  76. P3 13:48Goal by Zetterberg (Datsyuk, Quincey)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, DeKeyser · PHI Streit, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, McGinn

  77. P3 17:08Shot by Cleary, saved by Emery
  78. P3 19:07Goal by Zetterberg (Datsyuk, Cleary)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: DET Cleary, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gustafsson, Read

  79. P3 19:41Newbury: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Tootoo, Miller, Lashoff, Glendening, DeKeyser · PHI Hall, Newbury, Schenn, Gustafsson, McGinn

  80. P3 19:56Shot by Glendening, saved by Emery5v4
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final