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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Colorado Avalanche 5, Washington Capitals 1

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.

WSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Stastny, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Downie, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 2:11Shot by Schmidt, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 2:26Shot by Fehr, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 2:32Shot by Green, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 3:33Shot by Backstrom, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 4:30Shot by Laich, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 5:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 6:42Goal by Tanguay (Landeskog)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson, Urbom · COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog

  11. P1 9:06Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 9:55Shot by Grabovski, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 10:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Neuvirth
  14. P1 11:50Shot by Sarich, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 12:17Green: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Green, Alzner · COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, McGinn, MacKinnon

  16. P1 12:17Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  17. P1 12:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  18. P1 14:04Shot by Downie, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  19. P1 14:22Goal by Duchene (O'Reilly, Benoit)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Green, Backstrom, Alzner, Johansson, Oleksy · COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene

  20. P1 14:40Shot by Landeskog, saved by Neuvirth
  21. P1 14:50Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 16:01Shot by Chimera, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 18:09Shot by Laich, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 19:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:05Shot by Benoit, saved by Neuvirth
  28. P2 1:27Shot by Laich, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 1:32Shot by Grabovski, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 1:42Shot by Laich, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 2:15Shot by Downie, saved by Neuvirth
  32. P2 2:17Shot by Duchene, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 2:41Shot by Schmidt, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 2:46Shot by Ward, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 4:01Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 4:39Shot by Benoit, saved by Neuvirth
  37. P2 4:59Shot by Benoit, saved by Neuvirth
  38. P2 6:22Shot by Oleksy, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 8:01Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 10:13Shot by Johansson, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 11:04Shot by Green, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 12:56Shot by Beagle, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 13:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 15:03Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Neuvirth
  45. P2 15:41Shot by Ward, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 15:46Shot by Chimera, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 16:04Wilson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Carlson, Urbom · COL Parenteau, Guenin, Mitchell, McGinn, Wilson

  48. P2 17:41Goal by MacKinnon (Stastny, Landeskog)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Erat, Alzner, Beagle, Oleksy · COL Parenteau, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  49. P2 18:23Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 18:36Shot by Alzner, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 18:57Shot by Brouwer, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 19:00Shot by Laich, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 19:31Johnson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Ovechkin, Green, Carlson · COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog

  54. P2 19:41Shot by Grabovski, saved by Varlamov5v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:06Shot by Green, saved by Varlamov5v4
  58. P3 1:15Shot by Tanguay, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  59. P3 1:19Goal by Tanguay (Stastny, Benoit)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom · COL Tanguay, Benoit, Hejda, Stastny

  60. P3 1:41Shot by Chimera, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 2:03Goal by Fehr (Chimera, Ward)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Carlson, Urbom · COL Guenin, Hejda, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene

  62. P3 2:24Goal by McGinn (Parenteau, MacKinnon)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Laich, Ovechkin, Grabovski, Oleksy, Schmidt · COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, McGinn, MacKinnon

  63. P3 4:02Shot by Carlson, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 4:35Shot by Urbom, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 5:00Shot by McGinn, saved by Neuvirth
  66. P3 5:05Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Neuvirth
  67. P3 6:14Shot by Alzner, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 6:20Shot by Alzner, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 7:24Sarich: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Ward, Fehr, Carlson, Urbom · COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, Downie, Duchene

  70. P3 10:08Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Neuvirth
  71. P3 10:46Shot by Schmidt, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 11:19Backstrom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Brouwer, Backstrom, Johansson, Oleksy, Schmidt · COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog

  73. P3 12:29Shot by Downie, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  74. P3 12:56Shot by Landeskog, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  75. P3 14:10Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 14:43Shot by Downie, saved by Neuvirth
  77. P3 16:00Shot by Laich, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 17:55Shot by Backstrom, saved by Varlamov
  79. P3 19:11Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final