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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Dallas Stars 1, Minnesota Wild 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 83% of the time.

MIN winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Goal by Fontaine (Cooke)+19 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Cooke, Suter, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin · DAL Robidas, Peverley, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  3. P1 0:58Shot by Cole, saved by Harding
  4. P1 2:29Shot by Veilleux, saved by Ellis
  5. P1 3:44Shot by Stoner, saved by Ellis
  6. P1 4:28Shot by Dillon, saved by Harding
  7. P1 5:24Shot by Peverley, saved by Harding
  8. P1 7:02Shot by Granlund, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 10:12Shot by Koivu, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 10:34Shot by Suter, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 10:41Goal by Cooke, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Cooke, Suter, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin · DAL Gonchar, Goligoski, Peverley, Benn, Seguin

  12. P1 11:03Shot by Fontaine, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 11:28Shot by Dumba, saved by Ellis
  14. P1 13:29Shot by Benn, saved by Harding
  15. P1 14:50Shot by Pominville, saved by Ellis
  16. P1 15:16Shot by Parise, saved by Ellis
  17. P1 15:52Heatley: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Pominville, Stoner, Granlund, Dumba · DAL Fiddler, Daley, Benn, Garbutt, Nichushkin

  18. P1 16:04Shot by Benn, saved by Harding4v5
  19. P1 16:11Shot by Peverley, saved by Harding4v5
  20. P1 17:42Koivu: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Cooke, Koivu, Stoner, Spurgeon · DAL Gonchar, Cole, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin

  21. P1 17:51Shot by Gonchar, saved by Harding3v5
  22. P1 18:23Shot by Cooke, saved by Ellis4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:03Shot by Koivu, saved by Ellis
  26. P2 3:19Shot by Benn, saved by Harding
  27. P2 3:22Shot by Daley, saved by Harding
  28. P2 3:46Goligoski: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Pominville, Ballard, Spurgeon, Granlund · DAL Robidas, Cole, Horcoff, Goligoski, Roussel

  29. P2 4:26Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ellis5v4
  30. P2 4:33Shot by Pominville, saved by Ellis5v4
  31. P2 4:41Shot by Parise, saved by Ellis5v4
  32. P2 7:10Shot by Parise, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 7:19Dillon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Stoner, Niederreiter, Dumba · DAL Whitney, Gonchar, Chiasson, Eakin, Dillon

  34. P2 8:00Shot by Parise, saved by Ellis5v4
  35. P2 8:10Shot by Dumba, saved by Ellis5v4
  36. P2 8:23Goal by Dumba (Heatley, Brodin)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Granlund, Niederreiter, Brodin, Dumba · DAL Gonchar, Horcoff, Benn, Roussel

  37. P2 10:04Shot by Gonchar, saved by Harding
  38. P2 10:20Goal by Niederreiter (Koivu, Spurgeon)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Ballard, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter · DAL Cole, Horcoff, Daley, Roussel, Dillon

  39. P2 11:29Shot by Parise, saved by Ellis
  40. P2 12:02Suter: Delaying game smothering puck (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Niederreiter, Brodin · DAL Robidas, Goligoski, Peverley, Benn, Eakin

  41. P2 12:29Shot by Chiasson, saved by Harding4v5
  42. P2 12:40Goal by Benn (Seguin, Chiasson)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Stoner, Spurgeon · DAL Peverley, Benn, Benn, Chiasson, Seguin

  43. P2 15:43Shot by Heatley, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 16:33Shot by Koivu, saved by Ellis
  45. P2 16:40Shot by Brodin, saved by Ellis
  46. P2 19:55Shot by Dillon, saved by Harding
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:35Horcoff: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Heatley, Pominville, Ballard, Spurgeon, Granlund · DAL Whitney, Cole, Horcoff, Daley, Benn

  50. P3 2:16Shot by Benn, saved by Harding5v4
  51. P3 4:28Shot by Koivu, saved by Ellis
  52. P3 5:40Shot by Robidas, saved by Harding
  53. P3 6:16Shot by Robidas, saved by Harding
  54. P3 6:58Shot by Koivu, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 7:24Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 7:30Shot by Parise, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 12:01Shot by Ballard, saved by Ellis
  58. P3 13:41Shot by Stoner, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 14:02Chiasson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Ballard, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter · DAL Whitney, Robidas, Chiasson, Eakin, Dillon

  60. P3 14:28Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ellis5v4
  61. P3 14:30Goal by Parise (Spurgeon, Suter)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Pominville, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon · DAL Fiddler, Daley, Benn, Garbutt

  62. P3 14:48Shot by Peverley, saved by Harding
  63. P3 16:38Shot by Heatley, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 17:18Shot by Dillon, saved by Harding
  65. P3 18:17Shot by Goligoski, saved by Harding
  66. P3 18:48Shot by Brodziak, saved by Ellis
  67. P3 18:50Shot by Brodziak, saved by Ellis
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final